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Forums - Sales Discussion - How many units will Nintendo Switch sell in 2022?

 

How many units will Nintendo Switch sell in 2022?

12-15M 2 6.67%
 
15-18M 2 6.67%
 
18-22M 11 36.67%
 
22-25M 11 36.67%
 
25M+ 4 13.33%
 
Total:30
         

How many units will Nintendo Switch sell in 2022?

12-15M 0 $0.00 0%
 
15-18M 2 $750.00 6.45%
 
18-22M 12 $2,602.00 38.71%
 
22-25M 15 $4,210.75 48.39%
 
25M+ 2 $78.24 6.45%
 
 
Totals: 31 $7,640.99  
Game ends on: 03/31/2022
Enter Bet

With going further into the life of the Switch as a console, starting it's 6th year in march 2022, and it's peak year (2020) behind it, but still having very good sales this year (closing at around 25 to 28M), what do you think will the Nintendo Switch sell next year?

Last edited by yo33331 - on 02 December 2021

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25 million+



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

Between 15 and 18 million
I think it's getting to the point where everyone who wants a switch will already have one.



I’m thinking 22M. What’s it doing this year, 27-ish? So a mild drop seems right.
22 sucks though because you have 18-22 and 22-25 lol. So which one to pick. I’ll say it’ll do 22.01 and pick the latter.



S.Peelman said:

I’m thinking 22M. What’s it doing this year, 27-ish? So a mild drop seems right.
22 sucks though because you have 18-22 and 22-25 lol. So which one to pick. I’ll say it’ll do 22.01 and pick the latter.

yep, whatever you think is more probable. In your case, if you think there is a bigger chance of doing more than 22M, than 22-25M.



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20-22m.

A lot of people are saying that Switch is yet to receive a price cut, but with components being scarce, prices will remain the same or will rise.

Software possibly will do a few bumps but nothing like 2020 or 2021.
We are reaching to saturation point despite fans saying otherwise.



kazuyamishima said:

20-22m.

A lot of people are saying that Switch is yet to receive a price cut, but with components being scarce, prices will remain the same or will rise.

Software possibly will do a few bumps but nothing like 2020 or 2021.
We are reaching to saturation point despite fans saying otherwise.

I think you underestimate software bump, especially if BOTW2 releases.

And there are still many people who want to upgrade to the OLED model.

And also there is still room for another upgrade, like a OLED Lite

And about the saturation, I would've thought the same if I didn't end up buying a Switch Lite 2 weeks ago despite having an OG Switch from early 2017.



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

Over 22mil. I don't see how it would drop below 20mil already and since we just got a new model and the software lineup is huge. And since I'm optimistic I went with the 22-25mil option.



It will depend on the chip shortage but I dont see them selling less than 22million, provided they can provide enough units, especially for the OLED model.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

It's hitting saturation soon, I think. Plus it doesn't have a revision that entices original buyers enough to buy a newer version. The OLED is great for new people, but only the most hardcore of hardcore will buy it if they already own a functioning original Switch. Plus with the new Covid variant factories will once again be losing production capabilities as companies won't want disease to spread (no matter how lethal or not it is, people freak out about everything now). Count on the media to keep focusing on Covid, increasingly, leading up to the 2022 Midterms. Ideally I wouldn't have to bring up politics in this thread, but politics can absolutely impact production capabilities, so I'm sticking with my 15-18 million prediction and wagered 700 made up VGChartz currency on it.

I plan to buy a made up island with my winnings. It will have a ski resort at the top of the half dormant/half covered in snow volcano with a Blue slope leading all the way down to the beach and a ramp that let's you get some mad air jumping into the ocean before gently landing on the Black Pearl and having 30 variations of identical Jack Sparrows amusing you with their counterproductive chatter and actions.