After New Horizon Switch will peak
After COVID Switch will peak
<<<<<<< we are here
After OLED & Pokemon Remakes Switch will peak
After Open World Pokemon Switch will peak
After Breath of the Wild sequel Switch will peak
After Splatoon 3 Switch will peak
After price drop Switch will peak
After Pro launch Switch will peak

surpass 85M, Japan and US, the two majors market have supply problems, OG model, and have four millions Switch ? Holly shit supply problem solved !!!

With Mario Golf: Super Rush being a success, it's only a matter of time before we get an announcement for the next Mario Sports game? Could it be Strikers? Baseball? another Sports Mix? Who knows.

As usual strong sales though the explosive period that started March last year is coming to an end now but it's already sold enough that as long as the decline isn't very rapid it'll hit at least 140 million and has a decent shot of overtaking the PS2. Sales in July-September should be a tad on the low end compared to how it was doing before but the OLED model will help make up for that dip.

Ring Fit looking great, both it and Mario Party have a shot a good shot at 20 million. Mario 3D World looking fantastic will blow though 10 million next year. Mario Golf huge 1.34 million in its first 6 days on the market. Mario Kart is gonna pass 40 million over the holidays....with several years left to sell!

Not surprising sales are down from last year. Switch this year will likely end up selling right around what it did last year: 28+ million.

I didn't say it would stop selling, or even say it would stop selling well. I just said it would drop off considerably once 9 is announced and even more after 9 comes out. AC won't be replaced for many years, and the game is only a little over a year old. It has a tremendous amount of growth potential as an evergreen especially during each holiday season. MK8D has what, maybe 2-3 holidays left as the flagship MK game, whereas AC probably has 5+ holidays left as the flagship AC game. That's 2-3 more holidays ACNH has as the flagship AC game than MK8D has remaining as the flagship MK game. That will be more than enough for ACNH to win. But that's not all, as ACNH has new content coming and I suspect Nintendo will make that an annual occurance going forward, driving sales even further.

I think switch has a real shot at outselling PS4 software sales and rank 1 in that category as well

OLED model is nice, but I don't know if the Nintendo audience is really that hung up on display technology, it's also $50 more to have it.

I don't know if that alone will be able to make up for YoY declines. I'm sure it will sell well.

BOTW2 coming probably next fall (maybe?), ok, but I do wonder how many people buying BOTW2 at this point don't have BOTW (and probably by extension a Switch) already? I mean if you're interested in that, why would you not have a Switch + BOTW at this point? Like it's been almost 5 years now.

So I'm not sure if that creates such a huge boom in new adopter sales at this point in the product cycle. Ditto for Splatoon 3 and the like.

The Switch did have a new IP that probably did bring in some new kinds of customers this last quarter with Monster Hunter, which isn't very established as an IP on the Switch yet and had a lot of new players from MH World on the PS4/PC/XB to draw upon.

But that still didn't stem the tide against YoY decline.

Ring Fit Adventure is what you call a sleeper hit.

Nintendo only updates games that sold over 1M units in the current FY and the top 10.

Would have been great if they would update all their million sellers, but they don't.