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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu sales: Week 13, 2021 - (Mar 22 - Mar 28)

Kai_Mao said:
siebensus4 said:

267k is actually the range what Switch sold during holidays last year, so you can't complain... Pokémon Snap, Miitopia, Mario Golf and Skyward Sword should carry the Switch to a weekly bottom of 80-100k in Japan until July.

It’s kinda crazy that 80-100K a week could be possible for Switch’s 5th year while this week’s PS5 sales of over 62K is considered “great,” not to mention not having any PS5 games in the top 30 either. I know stock is an issue, but will we actually see the weekly PS5 sales average 80-100K even once the stock issues are mostly resolved?

Do you expect PS5 to sell at peak switch levels in Japan? What was the last dedicated home console to see averages of 80-100k per week? Its all relative to expectations and past performance. The PS5 has been selling significantly better than the PS4 now that stock is available. The question is whether it can maintain that lead over its predecessor, not really whether it can catch up to Switch



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All games that hit 5mil+ (ship+digital)

NSW will have the most with a minimum 5 games lifetime.

01) 9.19mil: ACNH (NSW)
02) 8.22mil: PokeRB (GBC)
03) 7.17mil: PokeGS (GBC)
04) 6.81mil: SMB (FC)
05) 6.49mil: NSMB (DS)
06) 5.85mil: ACNL (3DS)
07) 5.85mil: PokeDP (DS)
08) 5.54mil: PokeBW (DS)
09) 5.40mil: PokeRS (GBA)
10) 5.35mil: ACWW (DS)
11) 5.30mil: MHP3 (PSP)
12) 5.19mil: PokeSwSh (NSW)
13) 5.17mil: SSBU (NSW)
14) 5.10mil: Brain Age 2 (DS)

*) 4.55mil: Splat2 (NSW)
*) 4.53mil: MK8D (NSW)

Bonus: super smash bros might surpass GS as the 3rd best selling game in japan



Count on Capcom to prolly be reponsible for the lower than expected physical sales of the game.

Anywoo, a great week for hardware sales all around even though, you really have to wonder what's happening with the PS5. Seems like people are really eager for it early on despite the lack of new software for it. Like some others have speculated, RE8 Village will be the first game where we can take a look at the effect of new software on the sales of the hardware, I predict these results will be most interesting ...



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

What a week! PS5 is at an impressive level. Seems like Sony massively understocked in Japan, demand is sky high!



So I’m going to make an analysis for all the evergreen titles and predict where they will land lifetime!

This is actual a pessimistic one I did to prove a point

Smash sold thru Retail 151k this year (W2-13)
Smash sold thru Retail 127k last year (W2-13)


FY20: 900k
FY21: 740k + Q4

So let’s say if Q4 is 160k and hits 900k that is 5.33mil. It’s already doing about the same as last year, but I’ll lower it for you... and then drop it 40% YoY after that

FY22: 600k
FY23: 360k
FY24: 215k
FY25: 100k

That’s 6.5mil

I think SSBU will become the third best selling game in japan, possibly 2nd o.O



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Monster Hunter say's step aside 3D Mario I'm the king.



tbone51 said:

All games that hit 5mil+ (ship+digital)

NSW will have the most with a minimum 5 games lifetime.

01) 9.19mil: ACNH (NSW)
02) 8.22mil: PokeRB (GBC)
03) 7.17mil: PokeGS (GBC)
04) 6.81mil: SMB (FC)
05) 6.49mil: NSMB (DS)
06) 5.85mil: ACNL (3DS)
07) 5.85mil: PokeDP (DS)
08) 5.54mil: PokeBW (DS)
09) 5.40mil: PokeRS (GBA)
10) 5.35mil: ACWW (DS)
11) 5.30mil: MHP3 (PSP)
12) 5.19mil: PokeSwSh (NSW)
13) 5.17mil: SSBU (NSW)
14) 5.10mil: Brain Age 2 (DS)

*) 4.55mil: Splat2 (NSW)
*) 4.53mil: MK8D (NSW)

Bonus: super smash bros might surpass GS as the 3rd best selling game in japan

Red and Blue? Blue launched later. Is this Red, Green and Blue, or where is Green?

Also, I think MK8DX can outsell GS if it's legs continue like that and MK9 doesn't release on the Switch.



Kakadu18 said:
tbone51 said:

All games that hit 5mil+ (ship+digital)

NSW will have the most with a minimum 5 games lifetime.

01) 9.19mil: ACNH (NSW)
02) 8.22mil: PokeRB (GBC)
03) 7.17mil: PokeGS (GBC)
04) 6.81mil: SMB (FC)
05) 6.49mil: NSMB (DS)
06) 5.85mil: ACNL (3DS)
07) 5.85mil: PokeDP (DS)
08) 5.54mil: PokeBW (DS)
09) 5.40mil: PokeRS (GBA)
10) 5.35mil: ACWW (DS)
11) 5.30mil: MHP3 (PSP)
12) 5.19mil: PokeSwSh (NSW)
13) 5.17mil: SSBU (NSW)
14) 5.10mil: Brain Age 2 (DS)

*) 4.55mil: Splat2 (NSW)
*) 4.53mil: MK8D (NSW)

Bonus: super smash bros might surpass GS as the 3rd best selling game in japan

Red and Blue? Blue launched later. Is this Red, Green and Blue, or where is Green?

Also, I think MK8DX can outsell GS if it's legs continue like that and MK9 doesn't release on the Switch.

Yes your right it’s RG, I alsways get confused lol. Imma do a MK one later. That one has legs for life



Otter said:
Kai_Mao said:

It’s kinda crazy that 80-100K a week could be possible for Switch’s 5th year while this week’s PS5 sales of over 62K is considered “great,” not to mention not having any PS5 games in the top 30 either. I know stock is an issue, but will we actually see the weekly PS5 sales average 80-100K even once the stock issues are mostly resolved?

Do you expect PS5 to sell at peak switch levels in Japan? What was the last dedicated home console to see averages of 80-100k per week? Its all relative to expectations and past performance. The PS5 has been selling significantly better than the PS4 now that stock is available. The question is whether it can maintain that lead over its predecessor, not really whether it can catch up to Switch

I personally don’t know what to think of the PS5’s future performance. Sure, it’s significantly better now. But what about 2-3 years from now? Or 4-5 years? It’s interesting because:

1) software sales don’t appear to align with the hardware sales in Japan. Not a single PS5 in the top 30. Sure you can say “no digital,” but you can say that with  a good amount of the games in the top 30, especially Nintendo games in which they don’t disclose digital sales on the weekly charts.

2) Will games like RE8, FFXVI, etc., make enough of a difference to maintain pace above PS4? The PS4 had all the big third party titles from Japan and it just missed the 10 million mark in terms of hardware sales. How does that happen? Especially when the Switch is completely out lapping the entire competition. And it’s not like games like DQ, FF, or MH are some nice quality franchises. Some would argue that their prestige is up there with the Mario’s and Pokémon’s in Japan. So much that we usually expect LTD sales in at least 1-2 million for new entries in these respective franchises. And now you have smaller Japanese titles no longer ignoring the Switch and the sales potential behind that user base.

I guess the main goal would be to have the PS5 above 10 million LTD in Japan. But even then, I don’t know if that’s a guarantee. We’ll just have to see if hardware sales legs will last for PS5 beyond the launch year period.



So how much did Balan Wonderworld bomb? A LOT!