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Forums - Sales Discussion - Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2021?

 

Sell-through expectations for the PlayStation 5 in 2021?

Less than 8 million 48 6.71%
 
8.0 - 9.9 million 32 4.48%
 
10.0 - 11.9 million 67 9.37%
 
12.0 - 13.9 million 92 12.87%
 
14.0 - 15.9 million 168 23.50%
 
16.0 - 17.9 million 105 14.69%
 
18.0 - 19.9 million 88 12.31%
 
20.0 - 21.9 million 55 7.69%
 
22.0 - 24.0 million 11 1.54%
 
More than 24 million 49 6.85%
 
Total:715

The PS5 has a really strong lineup this year. I think they should easily sell over 16 million if Sony can supply that many.



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About 17-18 million units, higher than PS4.

Demand was big with the PS4, but with Ps5 is crazy!!



Im going with 14.0 - 15.9m.
My reasoning is I expect it to do slightly better than PS4 as PS4 and XBO are dying quicker than PS3 and 360.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

I'm expecting about 16M due to PS4 sales breaking off and going to PS5/XS instead as a result.



I voted 10-11.9m. No way is PS5 selling better than PS4. I can't believe how many people actually think this will happen. Some things to consider:

1. $500 price tag
2. Looming recession
3. PS5 has much tougher competition than PS4 from both Nintendo and Microsoft.
4. Launch data is basically irrelevant. Even the Wii U sold well when it launched.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:

I voted 10-11.9m. No way is PS5 selling better than PS4. I can't believe how many people actually think this will happen. Some things to consider:

1. $500 price tag
2. Looming recession
3. PS5 has much tougher competition than PS4 from both Nintendo and Microsoft.
4. Launch data is basically irrelevant. Even the Wii U sold well when it launched.

I expect for the first year of the PS5 to sell better than the PS4 due to very high hype at launch and demand right now with the lockdowns - but after that I expect the PS4 to lead and never look back.



Couldn't say. I think within a few months we'll have a better idea. When demand is outstripping supply, you don't know if it's just 5 million people who really want one, or 55 million. And whatever the x-factor is now could change substantially if PS5 fails to stir up excitement over the next few months. Japan was a disaster despite the highest supply in history.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Assuming that they'll be able to produce enough units to meet demand (which we know is not the case, because I cant go buy one at retail today), I'd figure on slightly more units than the PS4 sold in the first year. So, maybe 16mm or so. However, since they cant produce enough units, I'm thinking it'll end up right around the PS4's numbers. Of course, if supply troubles continue throughout the year, it'll be lower. They can't sell units that don't exist.



As to the bonus question.... I'm interested in Horizon and God of War. But, since I started this gen with XBox, it'll be a couple of years before I have a PS5 to play them on. So, I haven't been paying a whole lot of attention. There may be something else that I've missed.



I think somewhere around 16 million if the line-up is good (games like God of War, Horizon and even GT7 would help a lot) and if there's enough supply.

Bonus: Final Fantasy XVI (I think this will come out until 2022)