Ok updating this. 3DS Year5+6 vs NSW Year5

W## - 3DSY5 - 3DSY6 - Combo - NSW21

W01: 200.1k - 122.9k - 323.0k - [312.1k]
W02: 70.1k — 51.2k — 121.3k
W03: 50.4k — 31.4k — 81.8k
W04: 36.2k — 30.0k — 66.2k
W05: 33.0k — 24.9k — 57.9k
W06: 34.6k — 19.8k — 54.4K
W07: 53.3k — 21.1k — 74.4K
W08: 31.2k — 18.6k — 59.8k
W09: 29.9k — 20.0k — 49.9k
W10: 28.4k — 21.3k — 49.7k
W11: 26.5k — 20.5k — 47.0k
W12: 22.8k — 20.4k — 43.2k
W13: 25.7k — 25.3k — 51.0k

Tot: 639k — 453k — 1092k

Supposedly, Games Data Library indicated that the Switch actually did make it to the 6 million mark in 2020.

At 6.26m Nintendo Switch just had the 3rd all time biggest year for hardware sales in Japan, just behind the top years of the Nintendo DS

Most unusual for a Nintendo platform to peak so late during its lite. pic.twitter.com/rqGzz7Cdwz

— Game Data Library (@GameDataLibrary) January 9, 2021

Not sure if people can confirm that or not..

Regardless, its an incredible achievement, whether it actually hit that mark or just came close to it. Sure, the pandemic played a factor in 2020, as it had in everything else in life. However, seeing a console sell this well and rank just behind the DS's two best years ('06 and '07) in terms of sales for individual years is nothing short of spectacular. The Japanese market has changed drastically since the Wii/DS/PS3/Xbox 360/PSP days. There were periods of shortages for the Switch, not to mention the rough release schedule partly due to the pandemic. Despite all that, not to mention the release of the next-gen consoles, the Switch was able to reach the milestone (or at least came really close to it) in such dominating fashion, even with the holiday releases being relatively low-key compared to previous years. Animal Crossing was basically the story and game of 2020 for Japan with Momotaro Dentetsu and Sakuna being the surprises for the holidays.

RolStoppable said: Kai_Mao said: Supposedly, Games Data Library indicated that the Switch actually did make it to the 6 million mark in 2020. At 6.26m Nintendo Switch just had the 3rd all time biggest year for hardware sales in Japan, just behind the top years of the Nintendo DS Most unusual for a Nintendo platform to peak so late during its lite. pic.twitter.com/rqGzz7Cdwz — Game Data Library (@GameDataLibrary) January 9, 2021 Not sure if people can confirm that or not.. (...) The tweet is most likely citing Media Create figures. Media Create had a week 53 in 2020, so that explains the difference to Famitsu which counts 2020 as a 52-week-year.

Good to know. Nevertheless, its an incredible feat to even sell that well, or close to it, (and dominating the competition) considering the circumstances.

tbone51 said: So for NSW to make thjngs interesting I made a NSW year 5 vs 3DS year5+6 combine to showcase how far past NSW will do towards 3DS lifetime sales (25mil) Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It’s extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it’s under 5% lol. I’ll post it here soon... for the time being, take a look at this...... H1 NSW/3DS life cycle (Q1+Q2) 2667k: NSW (2020) 2285k: 3DS (2012) 1957k: 3DS (2013) 1484k: NSW (2019) 1168k: NSW (2018) 1065k: 3DS (2014) 1041k: NSW (2017) 933k: 3DS (2015) I think NSW needs at least 2250k+ to be in competition with 2020 numbers if it wants a chance to win

Wouldn't a Switch year 5 vs a DS year 5 be more interesting and meaningful since most are in agreement Switch will outsell 3DS in Japan but uncertain yet on DS?

tbone51 said: Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It's extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it's under 5% lol.

Don't back down now! I think it has better odds than that honestly.

Except for the weeks around the AC launch I expect it to be up YoY for the majority of the first half of the year. After that it's harder to predict but a potential price cut could help it continue a very strong pace for the whole year and of course the "switch pro" could help as well, especially if it's something current owners are willing to upgrade to. It is still a tall order, but I think it's quite possible.

brute said: tbone51 said: So for NSW to make thjngs interesting I made a NSW year 5 vs 3DS year5+6 combine to showcase how far past NSW will do towards 3DS lifetime sales (25mil) Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It’s extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it’s under 5% lol. I’ll post it here soon... for the time being, take a look at this...... H1 NSW/3DS life cycle (Q1+Q2) 2667k: NSW (2020) 2285k: 3DS (2012) 1957k: 3DS (2013) 1484k: NSW (2019) 1168k: NSW (2018) 1065k: 3DS (2014) 1041k: NSW (2017) 933k: 3DS (2015) I think NSW needs at least 2250k+ to be in competition with 2020 numbers if it wants a chance to win Wouldn't a Switch year 5 vs a DS year 5 be more interesting and meaningful since most are in agreement Switch will outsell 3DS in Japan but uncertain yet on DS?

By comparing 3DS with year 5+6 and date I say Year 5+6+7 it’ll showcase just how much NSW will surpass 3DS lifetime sales. Because NSW will still have years on the market. That said DS year 5 is good too of course to add on

UnderwaterFunktown said: tbone51 said: Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It's extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it's under 5% lol. Don't back down now! I think it has better odds than that honestly. Except for the weeks around the AC launch I expect it to be up YoY for the majority of the first half of the year. After that it's harder to predict but a potential price cut could help it continue a very strong pace for the whole year and of course the "switch pro" could help as well, especially if it's something current owners are willing to upgrade to. It is still a tall order, but I think it's quite possible.

I have my prediction early. Here it is enjoy while I update :)

Q1: 1275k
Q2: 995k
Q3: 1315k
Q4: 2400k
Tot: 5960k

W#: Guess — Sold — Difference 

W1: 250k —— 312k — +62k
W2: 120k
W3: 85k
W4: 75k
w5: 70k
w6: 75k
w7: 100k
w8: 75k
w9: 65k
w10: 55k
w11: 45k
w12: 80k
w13: 180k

Tot: 1275k

Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st.

curl-6 said: Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st.

Will you minus the 4 days of 2019 that was added to week 1 sales this year???

tbone51 said: curl-6 said: Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st. Will you minus the 4 days of 2019 that was added to week 1 sales this year???

That's still taking just 6 days off 2020, unlikely that's enough to take away 270k of sales from post-Christmas.