By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 1, 2021 (Dec 28 - Jan 03)

Tagged games:

RolStoppable said:
Kai_Mao said:

Supposedly, Games Data Library indicated that the Switch actually did make it to the 6 million mark in 2020.



Not sure if people can confirm that or not..

(...)

The tweet is most likely citing Media Create figures. Media Create had a week 53 in 2020, so that explains the difference to Famitsu which counts 2020 as a 52-week-year.

Good to know. Nevertheless, its an incredible feat to even sell that well, or close to it, (and dominating the competition) considering the circumstances.



Around the Network
tbone51 said:

So for NSW to make thjngs interesting I made a NSW year 5 vs 3DS year5+6 combine to showcase how far past NSW will do towards 3DS lifetime sales (25mil)

Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It’s extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it’s under 5% lol.

I’ll post it here soon... for the time being, take a look at this......

H1 NSW/3DS life cycle (Q1+Q2)

2667k: NSW (2020)
2285k: 3DS (2012)
1957k: 3DS (2013)
1484k: NSW (2019)
1168k: NSW (2018)
1065k: 3DS (2014)
1041k: NSW (2017)
933k: 3DS (2015)


I think NSW needs at least 2250k+ to be in competition with 2020 numbers if it wants a chance to win


Wouldn't a Switch year 5 vs a DS year 5 be more interesting and meaningful since most are in agreement Switch will outsell 3DS in Japan but uncertain yet on DS?



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

tbone51 said:

Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It's extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it's under 5% lol.

Don't back down now! I think it has better odds than that honestly.

Except for the weeks around the AC launch I expect it to be up YoY for the majority of the first half of the year. After that it's harder to predict but a potential price cut could help it continue a very strong pace for the whole year and of course the "switch pro" could help as well, especially if it's something current owners are willing to upgrade to. It is still a tall order, but I think it's quite possible.



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

brute said:
tbone51 said:

So for NSW to make thjngs interesting I made a NSW year 5 vs 3DS year5+6 combine to showcase how far past NSW will do towards 3DS lifetime sales (25mil)

Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It’s extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it’s under 5% lol.

I’ll post it here soon... for the time being, take a look at this......

H1 NSW/3DS life cycle (Q1+Q2)

2667k: NSW (2020)
2285k: 3DS (2012)
1957k: 3DS (2013)
1484k: NSW (2019)
1168k: NSW (2018)
1065k: 3DS (2014)
1041k: NSW (2017)
933k: 3DS (2015)


I think NSW needs at least 2250k+ to be in competition with 2020 numbers if it wants a chance to win


Wouldn't a Switch year 5 vs a DS year 5 be more interesting and meaningful since most are in agreement Switch will outsell 3DS in Japan but uncertain yet on DS?

By comparing 3DS with year 5+6 and date I say Year 5+6+7 it’ll showcase just how much NSW will surpass 3DS lifetime sales. Because NSW will still have years on the market. That said DS year 5 is good too of course to add on



UnderwaterFunktown said:
tbone51 said:

Also made a prediction that 2021>2020 . It's extremely optimistic sure but I think there is a chance even if it's under 5% lol.

Don't back down now! I think it has better odds than that honestly.

Except for the weeks around the AC launch I expect it to be up YoY for the majority of the first half of the year. After that it's harder to predict but a potential price cut could help it continue a very strong pace for the whole year and of course the "switch pro" could help as well, especially if it's something current owners are willing to upgrade to. It is still a tall order, but I think it's quite possible.

I have my prediction early. Here it is enjoy while I update :)

Q1: 1275k
Q2: 995k
Q3: 1315k
Q4: 2400k
Tot: 5960k

W#: Guess — Sold — Difference 

W1: 250k —— 312k — +62k
W2: 120k
W3: 85k
W4: 75k
w5: 70k
w6: 75k
w7: 100k
w8: 75k
w9: 65k
w10: 55k
w11: 45k
w12: 80k
w13: 180k

Tot: 1275k



Around the Network

Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:

Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st.

Will you minus the 4 days of 2019 that was added to week 1 sales this year???



tbone51 said:
curl-6 said:

Regardless of whether it's counted at 52 or 53 weeks, the fact remains there are 5 days of 2020 after the week ending December 26th, and if the total after 7 of those days was 6.26 million, then it's safe to say it passed 6 million by January 1st.

Will you minus the 4 days of 2019 that was added to week 1 sales this year???

That's still taking just 6 days off 2020, unlikely that's enough to take away 270k of sales from post-Christmas.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
tbone51 said:

Will you minus the 4 days of 2019 that was added to week 1 sales this year???

That's still taking just 6 days off 2020, unlikely that's enough to take away 270k of sales from post-Christmas.

This year week 1 was bigger than last year. But you don’t even have to worry about that. It definitely hit 6mil, mynintendo store isn’t accounted for and I’m sure it sold over 50k this year just like more than 200k RFA sales are missing



Sakuna has reached 100K physical this week on the Switch, the game continues to do well - based on its great WoM, it has already surpassed 150K combined on the PS4/NSW, since the PS4 version likely sold at least 10K additional copies since exiting the Top 30. Overall I'm not yet sure how well it will do overall but I don't think it will have a problem surpassing 250K sales by the end of 2021. If we add the very strong digital sales of the game on eShop it's likely going to outsell Island of Happiness overall. 

[NSW] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 100.663 
[PS4] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 48.019*

Marvelous Top 15

  1. [DS] Harvest Moon: Island of Happiness - 304.660
  2. [3DS] Harvest Moon: A New Beginning - 264.042
  3. [3DS] Harvest Moon: Linking the New World - 259.111
  4. [3DS/NSW] Rune Factory 4 - 245.857
  5. [DS] Harvest Moon: Twin Villages - 212.870
  6. [PSV/PS4/NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star - 198.804
  7. [3DS] Story of Seasons: Trio of Towns - 196.088
  8. [PSV] Kan Colle Kai - 190.568
  9. [PS4/PSV/NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star Link - 177.279
  10. [PSV] Senran Kagura Shinovi Versus - 158.270
  11. [3DS] Harvest Moon: Shining Sun and Friends - 155.065
  12. [NSW/PS4] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin - 148.682 NEW
  13. [PSP] Fate/Extra - 147.911
  14. [PSP] Fate/Extra CCC - 147.911
  15. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Friends of Mineral Town - 146.363
  • 3DS - 5
  • NSW - 5
  • PSV - 4
  • PS4 - 3
  • DS - 2

By the end of the year I anticipate that Sakuna, Rune Factory 4, Rune Factory 5 and Olive Town will join Island of Happiness as the top Marvelous games. Historically Marvelous is far from the largest studio in Japan, its been as we can see a studio mainly focused on handheld games that haven't managed even 500K combined across several SKUs. I believe this is about to change this year as Olive Town & Rune Factory 5 will be the breakout games for the studio. Not only in Japan but in East Asia, as Tencent who bought a stake in Marvelous will be probably marketing the games in East Asian markets. 

I anticipate that 2021 will be the first time they would be able to surpass 1 million sales in Japan alone, and will be their peak year and allow them to really cement themselves as a Top 3rd Party on the Switch both in Japan and in East Asia.