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Forums - Sales Discussion - How much do you expect Cyberpunk to sell?

 

First week prediction?

Less than 3 million 6 6.59%
 
3-6 million 12 13.19%
 
6-9 million 17 18.68%
 
9-12 million 13 14.29%
 
More than 12 million 43 47.25%
 
Total:91

40 million lifetime.



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hunter_alien said:

If it reviews as well as the hype leads us to believe, I see no reason why it can't open with 9-10 million first week and do 30 million+ LT.

That's assuming we ever get any reviews.

When I first checked weeks ago, the rumoured embargo drop date was a week before release, then last week everyone began saying it was 7th of December. Well, it's December 7th right now, and...

Apparently there's all sorts of funny business going on with review codes too. It's not making me concerned about the game, but it is annoying that I was looking forward to seeing some definitive opinions on the game before release, yet most reviewers don't even have the full game yet (from what I've read).

Some reviewers like ACG (who I usually love) have even got a bit sulky about it, saying they may not even bother because they didn't get the early review code and may not 'find/have time' to play it.



Shaunodon said:
hunter_alien said:

If it reviews as well as the hype leads us to believe, I see no reason why it can't open with 9-10 million first week and do 30 million+ LT.

That's assuming we ever get any reviews.

When I first checked weeks ago, the rumoured embargo drop date was a week before release, then last week everyone began saying it was 7th of December. Well, it's December 7th right now, and...

Apparently there's all sorts of funny business going on with review codes too. It's not making me concerned about the game, but it is annoying that I was looking forward to seeing some definitive opinions on the game before release, yet most reviewers don't even have the full game yet (from what I've read).

Some reviewers like ACG (who I usually love) have even got a bit sulky about it, saying they may not even bother because they didn't get the early review code and may not 'find/have time' to play it.

Damn, I didn't know it was that bad. Honestly, I am kind of surprised that they haven't sent proper review copies out. Seeing how long the game was in development and how bullish they were with showing it off for some time now, I am a bit worried about the end result now :| I hope we won't see the need for massive patches post-release.



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hunter_alien said:
Shaunodon said:

That's assuming we ever get any reviews.

When I first checked weeks ago, the rumoured embargo drop date was a week before release, then last week everyone began saying it was 7th of December. Well, it's December 7th right now, and...

Apparently there's all sorts of funny business going on with review codes too. It's not making me concerned about the game, but it is annoying that I was looking forward to seeing some definitive opinions on the game before release, yet most reviewers don't even have the full game yet (from what I've read).

Some reviewers like ACG (who I usually love) have even got a bit sulky about it, saying they may not even bother because they didn't get the early review code and may not 'find/have time' to play it.

Damn, I didn't know it was that bad. Honestly, I am kind of surprised that they haven't sent proper review copies out. Seeing how long the game was in development and how bullish they were with showing it off for some time now, I am a bit worried about the end result now :| I hope we won't see the need for massive patches post-release.

To me, it just feels like that earlier April release date was let's just say, complete bollocks on their part.



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Who says it's ever gonna get sold? Bit of a premature thread here.



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Vivster: kinda premature statement from you, when the game had already 1,6-1,8 mln preorders sold over 2 months ago. 



aircanada83 said:

Shikamaru: they didn't say that Cyberpunk had more than 1,5 mln preorders year ago. They just said that it's more than W3 at the same moment before launch.
Anyway, according to financial report for Septemeber 30th, digital PC preorders for Cyberpunk 2077 should have been around 1,6-1,8 mln copies.

Ah, that makes sense. Would be pretty insane if it already had 1.5m preorders in July 2019. Still, 1.6-1.8m preorders 3 months before release on PC alone is hugely increased over Witcher 3, which had 1.5m across all platforms a week before release. Preorders seem very strong on console as well, Cyberpunk has been top 100 on Amazon for months now, and was in the top 100 at several earlier points, even years ago. Currently at #4 PS4, #6 XB1 on Amazon.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 06 December 2020

Shaunodon said:
hunter_alien said:

If it reviews as well as the hype leads us to believe, I see no reason why it can't open with 9-10 million first week and do 30 million+ LT.

That's assuming we ever get any reviews.

When I first checked weeks ago, the rumoured embargo drop date was a week before release, then last week everyone began saying it was 7th of December. Well, it's December 7th right now, and...

Apparently there's all sorts of funny business going on with review codes too. It's not making me concerned about the game, but it is annoying that I was looking forward to seeing some definitive opinions on the game before release, yet most reviewers don't even have the full game yet (from what I've read).

Some reviewers like ACG (who I usually love) have even got a bit sulky about it, saying they may not even bother because they didn't get the early review code and may not 'find/have time' to play it.

It's still the 6th here!

I expect it having a lot of issues at launch, so hard to predict whether reviewers will review it on potential and ambition or on what's delivered day one. FS2020 managed to get reviewed on potential and alpha footage, which has all been severely downgraded by now with lots of issues still to be fixed, finished or even implemented. It certainly wasn't (and still isn't) a 91 game, however based on scope and ambition it definitely is a 91+ project. Yet FS2020 is regarded as a 10+ year project, Cyberpunk is not.

Both have tons of hype, will Cyberpunk get the potential 'pass' as well, or maybe it just runs well out of the gate. Still not having seen any footage of it running on the base consoles, next to complaints about the world feeling empty on One X and ps4 pro, I have my doubts.



I'm going to say that lifetime sales will put it around 10 to 11 million units sold.



"I'm going to say that lifetime sales will put it around 10 to 11 million units sold."

Is this some kind of joke ? Did you even bother doing a small research to check what leven of preorders could Cyberpunk have ?