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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 48, 2020 (Nov 23 - Nov 29)

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Both MS and sony shipping more digital only consoles this week.

Not much else to say, as they are both as OOS as they get.

Xbox in a demand never seen with xbox one.



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Damn Switch dropped. Maybe it's lack of stock, as it is likely Nintendo focused on Black Friday in the west this week. But probably largely due to no big holiday title. Nintendo really dropped the ball by not having a single major game for the holiday season. 6 million for the year in Japan looks unlikely looking at this week.

Also why are they not combining Pokemon with the Pokemon+Expansion Pack set? Both of those are selling Sword/Shield right? They should be combined. Or is this just how famitsu does stuff?



Slownenberg said:

Damn Switch dropped. Maybe it's lack of stock, as it is likely Nintendo focused on Black Friday in the west this week. But probably largely due to no big holiday title. Nintendo really dropped the ball by not having a single major game for the holiday season. 6 million for the year in Japan looks unlikely looking at this week.

Also why are they not combining Pokemon with the Pokemon+Expansion Pack set? Both of those are selling Sword/Shield right? They should be combined. Or is this just how famitsu does stuff?

Pretty much. They'll also count sales of "new price versions" seperately, stuff like Nintendo Selects for example.



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

Switch is notably down year over year this week. The software sales of Hyrule Warriors show that it doesn't have much pull to shift hardware.

Japan's holiday season isn't the same as America's and Europe's, because it doesn't start in earnest until about mid-December and then it extends into mid-January. So it's too soon to worry about 2020 just yet, but at the same time it's clear that 6m will be the bar by which we are going to measure, not something loftier like 6.5m or even 7.0m which were occasionally suggested earlier this year. On the flipside, this will at least allow for some more speculation whether 2020 or 2021 will be Switch's peak year in Japan.

Week2019 Weekly2019 Cumulative2020 Weekly2020 CumulativeDifference WeeklyDifference Cumulative
1225.698225.698284.827284.82759.12959.129
283.136308.834116.301401.12833.16592.294
371.672380.50696.458497.58624.786117.080
451.556432.06267.987565.57316.431133.511
566.448498.51075.922641.4959.474142.985
661.042559.552100.961741.45639.919181.904
764.313623.86580.312821.94815.999198.083
849.139673.00441.490863.258-7.649190.254
966.453739.45753.098916.356-13.355176.899
1067.624807.08150.585967.941-17.039160.860
1155.478862.55957.2741.025.2151.796162.656
1256.812919.371392.5761.417.791335.764498.420
1349.852969.223282.5611.700.352232.709731.129
1446.8501.016.073154.6401.854.992107.790838.919
1554.1011.070.17425.3131.880.305-28.788810.131
1640.3381.110.51227.8741.908.179-12.464797.667
1742.1081.152.620107.1042.015.28464.996862.664
1841.7351.194.35578.7312.094.01536.996899.660
1941.7361.236.09178.7312.172.74636.995936.655
2032.5641.268.65538.3802.211.1265.816942.471
2125.9361.294.59152.5572.263.68326.621969.092
2233.1541.327.745107.5932.371.27674.4391.043.531
2333.5901.361.33568.1922.439.46834.6021.078.133
2434.3211.395.65655.1872.494.65520.8661.098.999
2529.0581.424.71478.4282.573.08349.3701.148.369
2659.1841.483.89893.7992.666.88234.6151.182.984
2775.4811.559.37952.2502.719.132-23.2311.159.753
2855.8231.615.20296.8792.816.01141.0561.200.809
2945.5961.660.798113.1972.929.20867.6011.268.410
3042.6891.703.487125.2313.054.43982.5421.350.952
3136.6131.740.10086.6053.141.04449.9921.400.944
3246.3381.786.438173.3383.314.382127.0001.527.944
3346.3391.832.777148.6993.463.081102.3601.630.304
3430.0721.862.84970.1293.533.21040.0571.670.361
3590.5531.953.40278.7733.611.983-11.7801.658.581
3677.3922.030.79477.6113.689.5942191.658.800
3751.6192.082.41383.9203.773.51432.3011.691.101
38239.7402.322.153110.0293.883.543-129.7111.561.390
39196.4892.518.64270.5423.954.085-125.9471.435.443
4089.1372.607.77991.0934.045.1781.9561.437.399
4156.6802.664.459108.5754.153.75351.8951.489.294
4254.0672.718.52695.8524.249.60541.7851.531.079
4369.4382.787.96464.7684.314.373-4.6701.526.409
44119.3972.907.36186.9854.401.358-32.4121.493.997
4588.7722.996.133139.2004.540.55850.4281.544.425
46180.1363.176.269116.2674.656.825-63.8691.480.556
47179.9923.356.261179.1434.835.968-8491.479.707
48186.7633.543.024145.1784.981.146-41.5851.438.122
49188.5013.731.525
50236.6253.968.150
51291.4854.259.614
52234.2684.493.885


Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

There is NO big hit for the Switch this Christmas. Why are you still so many to bring back the shortage explanation.
This financial Q3 will be weaker than the 2020 Q3.



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RolStoppable said:

Japan's holiday season isn't the same as America's and Europe's, because it doesn't start in earnest until about mid-December and then it extends into mid-January. So it's too soon to worry about 2020 just yet

I didn't actually know this, this does put the numbers in better context. If this were the holiday season this would be a worrying low set of numbers all around, but 145k for the leader before the holiday rush ain't bad.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
RolStoppable said:

Japan's holiday season isn't the same as America's and Europe's, because it doesn't start in earnest until about mid-December and then it extends into mid-January. So it's too soon to worry about 2020 just yet

I didn't actually know this, this does put the numbers in better context. If this were the holiday season this would be a worrying low set of numbers all around, but 145k for the leader before the holiday rush ain't bad.

Its really only bad when you compare to 2019 ans 2020.

Also disappointing considering the year its had to this point.



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brute said:
curl-6 said:

I didn't actually know this, this does put the numbers in better context. If this were the holiday season this would be a worrying low set of numbers all around, but 145k for the leader before the holiday rush ain't bad.

Its really only bad when you compare to 2019 ans 2020.

Also disappointing considering the year its had to this point.

This time in 2019 weren't we just coming off the system's first mainline Pokemon? It's tough to compete with that.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

yeah in east asia holidays tend to be from mod december to well into january.

in fact japan actually has the shortest holiday duration, most other asian countries celebrate lunar new year which is usually early to mid febuary.

and besides, nintendo can more then make up for this with Q4 MHR



curl-6 said:
brute said:

Its really only bad when you compare to 2019 ans 2020.

Also disappointing considering the year its had to this point.

This time in 2019 weren't we just coming off the system's first mainline Pokemon? It's tough to compete with that.

You are correct, that's the basic explanation. It also has the Switch Lite factor from two months earlier.

And I'll add, given the context, it's not particularly disappointing at ~75% the sales.



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