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Forums - Sales Discussion - Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

No, I doubt PS5 will sell as much as PS1.  Meanwhile Switch will become the best selling system yet.



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Too early to tell, but PS5 could be long lived like PS4, but I fear that 3rd parties making multiplats could run out of power due to having to stay within XBSS HW power and RAM size, so they could push to kill earlier than necessary the more powerful PS5 and XBSX too.



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src said:

PS4 is going to hit 120m+, something the Switch can only dream of. 

Switch is on track to pass 120 million with ease.

It's already sold over 70 million and Nintendo have repeatedly stated it is just entering the middle of its lifecycle. Another 50 million over the next 3-4 years will be easily accomplished, particularly with further hardware revisions, price cuts for the base model, and demand being through the roof.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 27 November 2020

Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

src said:

Sony have 3 out the 5 best selling consoles of all time, the best selling console of all time and PS4 is going to hit 120m+, something the Switch can only dream of.

PS5 will sell a number that Nintendo wishes SW2 can achieve.

You have to be trolling man. Like switch could possibly have the best year for any console, beating the NDS and you are saying it can only dream of 120mil+? Anything less for the switch would be a massive shock and disappointment. 



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Like many have said before me, it is near impossible to tell at this point. We won't truly know whether or not the PS5 will be able to outsell the switch for 2-3 years, and thats just due to the nature of
A.) how well it sells in comparison to the Series X/S
B.) How the middle years for the switch go (how much momentum can it keep from this year)
C.) It will give us an idea of how it is selling relative to the other PlayStation, I use VGchartz numbers for the 3/4, and shipments from Sony for the 2 (Even if they were really bad about actually releasing them in quarters)
D.) If the PS5 starts selling less in it's 2nd year than 1st this is bad, but if the opposite happens, then it is good. Basically can it preserve its momentum and build on to it?

Historically speaking the first year has rarely broken records for most consoles sold ever (Talking as in the Switches potential 30 million in a calendar year, PS5 and XSX will not do this in 2021) Launch day sell outs also tell us little of demand, but when a console doesn't sell out, we are told much. Currently XSX/S and PS5 are both in this category of unknown real demand, we can't really measure demand till we are a year in, but even then the console in the lead will not always win, though historically speaking I do believe the one in the lead by the end of the First Year (aligned) of a generation has always won. (What I mean is X360, PS3 and Wii aligned, not Wii, PS4, and Xbox)

Last edited by badskywalker - on 27 November 2020

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NS at this point will become one of the top 3 selling platforms of all time it not only has a monopoly on one side of the market but will finish this FY in the 80m range all with out needing a price cut it'll likely hit 100m before next holiday I don't see PS5 matching it.



Shiken said:

The PS5 will likely sell less than the PS4 lifetime, and by default less than Switch. The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S, and they are making a lot of good choices in that regard. While I do not think it will outsell the PS5 overall, it will cut into potential overall sales.

The Switch on the otherhand will continue to sell like wildfire, as it is a good supplement to either console. Couple that with the people that main the Switch due to portability, and it will remain ahead of the PS5 relatively easy.

One of the most important things for console is its consistency with software library. PS4 has been able to do that to an extent during its cycle and Xbox One X couldn't see itself being in the lead despite being more powerful. This determines the success. The launch sales figures for both PS5 and Xbox series X are already pointing towards the success of consoles from their previous gen respectively. 

"The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S"

The Xbox brand might even struggle to keep up the market share it had with the previous generation. You cannot ignore this factor and this applies to both consoles. The covid phase could actually challenge most studios to put out the AAA titles on time. The switch will definitely go bonkers this holiday and could reach its final peak in the wake of next gen consoles and would be on a decline soon after, solely relying on first party software titles and existing user-base.



GameAnalyser said:
Shiken said:

The PS5 will likely sell less than the PS4 lifetime, and by default less than Switch. The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S, and they are making a lot of good choices in that regard. While I do not think it will outsell the PS5 overall, it will cut into potential overall sales.

The Switch on the otherhand will continue to sell like wildfire, as it is a good supplement to either console. Couple that with the people that main the Switch due to portability, and it will remain ahead of the PS5 relatively easy.

One of the most important things for console is its consistency with software library. PS4 has been able to do that to an extent during its cycle and Xbox One X couldn't see itself being in the lead despite being more powerful. This determines the success. The launch sales figures for both PS5 and Xbox series X are already pointing towards the success of consoles from their previous gen respectively. 

"The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S"

The Xbox brand might even struggle to keep up the market share it had with the previous generation. You cannot ignore this factor and this applies to both consoles. The covid phase could actually challenge most studios to put out the AAA titles on time. The switch will definitely go bonkers this holiday and could reach its final peak in the wake of next gen consoles and would be on a decline soon after, solely relying on first party software titles and existing user-base.

You also cannot ignore the other factor involved with covid, and that is that many people will need to be wiser with their spending.  With that said, services like gamepass are a godsend.  Not to mention the day 1 exclusives that will grow the value of the service even more with time.  MS may have fumbled last gen with 1st party titles, but they now have more studios under them than ever before.  One does not spend 6.5 billion USD for a massive acquisition like Bethesda if you are not in for the long haul.  As I have said before, the Series consoles will not outsell the PS5 worldwide.  They will however have a much higher stake this generation based on their pro consumer moves of late, which will impact the bottom line of the PS5.

As for Switch, you are lying to yourself if you think devs that already support it will drop a massive and growing user base like that.  Next year will likely be loaded with 1st party exclusives and could even see BotW2.  Capcom is releasing a console exclusive title in Moster Hunter Rise and most Japanese devs are shifting their focus to Switch over Playstation as Nintendo dominates that region.  So to sum it up, Nintendo is not going to get any worse 3rd party support than they already have.

And mark my words on this, if the Switch sells less in 2021 than it did in 2020, it is not because of decline due to new Sony and MS consoles.  It will be soley due to the Switch just selling such a monsterous number in 2020 itself.  Another thing you are forgetting is that unlike the XSX and PS5, the Switch can complement either of those two better than they can eachother.  Most multiconsole gamers will either own a Switch/PS5 or Switch/XSX or S.

So yeah, saying the Switch will pass the PS4 os actually a pretty realistic bet.  I wouldn't call it a safe bet, but certainly not a longshot by any stretch of the definition.



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It all depends on new market growth and how much Microsoft can claw back existing users from last gen on where the PS5 will end up.

Translation to early to tell.



 

 

Soren0079 said:

It is early to say but with Microsoft leaving consoles behind the ps5 should do very well.

Microsoft leaving consoles behind? Wishful thinking?



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