Do you think PlayStation 5 sales will be as good as Nintendo Switch sales?

[Shiken]

GameAnalyser said:

Shiken said:

The PS5 will likely sell less than the PS4 lifetime, and by default less than Switch. The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S, and they are making a lot of good choices in that regard. While I do not think it will outsell the PS5 overall, it will cut into potential overall sales.

The Switch on the otherhand will continue to sell like wildfire, as it is a good supplement to either console. Couple that with the people that main the Switch due to portability, and it will remain ahead of the PS5 relatively easy.

One of the most important things for console is its consistency with software library. PS4 has been able to do that to an extent during its cycle and Xbox One X couldn't see itself being in the lead despite being more powerful. This determines the success. The launch sales figures for both PS5 and Xbox series X are already pointing towards the success of consoles from their previous gen respectively. 

"The XBox brand has a good chance to get some of the market share they lost with the XSX/S"

The Xbox brand might even struggle to keep up the market share it had with the previous generation. You cannot ignore this factor and this applies to both consoles. The covid phase could actually challenge most studios to put out the AAA titles on time. The switch will definitely go bonkers this holiday and could reach its final peak in the wake of next gen consoles and would be on a decline soon after, solely relying on first party software titles and existing user-base.

You also cannot ignore the other factor involved with covid, and that is that many people will need to be wiser with their spending.  With that said, services like gamepass are a godsend.  Not to mention the day 1 exclusives that will grow the value of the service even more with time.  MS may have fumbled last gen with 1st party titles, but they now have more studios under them than ever before.  One does not spend 6.5 billion USD for a massive acquisition like Bethesda if you are not in for the long haul.  As I have said before, the Series consoles will not outsell the PS5 worldwide.  They will however have a much higher stake this generation based on their pro consumer moves of late, which will impact the bottom line of the PS5.

As for Switch, you are lying to yourself if you think devs that already support it will drop a massive and growing user base like that.  Next year will likely be loaded with 1st party exclusives and could even see BotW2.  Capcom is releasing a console exclusive title in Moster Hunter Rise and most Japanese devs are shifting their focus to Switch over Playstation as Nintendo dominates that region.  So to sum it up, Nintendo is not going to get any worse 3rd party support than they already have.

And mark my words on this, if the Switch sells less in 2021 than it did in 2020, it is not because of decline due to new Sony and MS consoles.  It will be soley due to the Switch just selling such a monsterous number in 2020 itself.  Another thing you are forgetting is that unlike the XSX and PS5, the Switch can complement either of those two better than they can eachother.  Most multiconsole gamers will either own a Switch/PS5 or Switch/XSX or S.

So yeah, saying the Switch will pass the PS4 os actually a pretty realistic bet.  I wouldn't call it a safe bet, but certainly not a longshot by any stretch of the definition.