If they do, probably by 2022. Xbox One has about 0.75-2 million left in it, I think. It might just barely pass 50 million.
PS4 is performing a little worse right now than I expected. 130 million doesn't seem possible right now unless Sony changes up its strategy. On the more pessimistic end, PS4 has about 6-8 million left. On the more optimistic end, 11-13 million.
Sony's strategy with the PS4 right now is baffling me. Both the PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro are still at their prices of $299.99 and $399.99. They need price cuts.
I agree with you, Sony seems to want to kill PS4 and send everyone to PS5. If that is their strategy, it seems to be working.
Both PS3 and PS4 got their successor at the start of year 8. So we are having very similar situations. Ps3 november went from 1.9M to 0.9M on the release of the PS4, while the PS4 went from 2.4 to 0.5. December seems to be a bit better for PS4, but still way lower. You have to consider that Holidays are the most important months, so if this keeps up, we could be seeing about a 3.5M year for PS4, if you add that to the total, that is 117M after 8 years, then maybe 1.5, and 0.5?
I might just make a really unpopular statement now.. I think there is a strong chance PS4 doesn't reach 120M lifetime.
I hope I'm wrong, hopefully Sony will improve its marketing for PS4 and reach much higher.