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Bofferbrauer2 said:
Intrinsic said:
I put a big 1k bet on oct 2021.

We are talking 12Munits combined in a little over a year. They will hit that. Cause when the new consoles are released, there will be fire sales all over the place. We will be seeing PS4s and XB1s for under $199.

Only if they actually have something to sell.

In Microsoft's case, I really doubt they'll go back to produce the XBO ever again. The Series S will replace both the One S and One X at the pricepoint of the One S and come with full backwards compatibility, so for them there's no reason to produce the current gen again.

In Sony's case, I doubt they'll let the console die as fast. But with the PS5 having backwards compatibility and more and more games working cross-gen, I expect a much faster switch to next gen then compared to at the end of PS2 or even PS3 life cycle.

In other words, I don't expect more than 10M more PS4 actually getting produced, and with the XBO already being EOL, it won't be enough to surpass last gen.

Oh I totally agree with you. But I made a bet and had to justify it. Go big or go home.

In truth though,I believe (and I have said so in the past) that it would every hard for the PS4to go past 125M. Especially being that the PS5 is BC with the PS4. What that means is that a LOT of current PS4 owners are going to sell their PS4 to facilitate the purchase of their PS5.No reason to hold onto the PS4. So imagine that there will be like 30-40M used PS4sin the market over the next 2 years. Why buy a brandnewPS4 for $199 when you can probably get a used one for as little as $150/$100.

I mean I sold my PS4 pro last year when I knew I could still get around $400 for the bundle I was selling (PS4pro, 2 controllers, vertical stand) because at that point I knew I was going to get a PS5, and that any game released between then and now is a game I would rather be playing on the PS5. And well, I have a Switch. 

I expect a lot of people will be ding the same.