Forums - Gaming Discussion - Will PS5 repeat the success of the PS4, and achieve 50 % marketshare?

Will PS5 achieve 50% marketshare?

Yes 30 26.55%
 
No 64 56.64%
 
Maybe 14 12.39%
 
I'll have what you're smoking. 5 4.42%
 
Total:113

Switch is most likely going to sell over 100M and Series X got good chances of selling at least 40M, that said, i will go whit a big "NO". To reach 50% market share Ps5 would need something like 140-150M, perhaps more, and this is just too much.
PS2 was a monster in sales and i can't see any other console doing similar numbers.



Prediction: In 5 years Nintendo will Lauch a "Core Mario game"  very similar to Astro Bot. That said, many will Ignore Astro Bot existence and say Nintendo created this concept.

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Nautilus said:
I don't understand the mentality of excluding Nintendo here... they are all console manufacturers, they all are direct competitors, just with different products....

Some people do some crazy mental gymnastics here.

By my estimation the prevailing mentality on Vgchartz, historically and currently, is to not consider Nintendo a direct competitor to MS and Sony. Again and again. Through success and failure. I do not ascribed to this line of thinking, but feel it's quite pervasive.



Chinese food for breakfast

 

If or if not Switch is considered the same generation as ps5, they will be the main market for a good period of time so i find it weird to exclude Switch. With that out of the way, no chance due to what i previous said.



It really depends on how you count the Switch and Switch successor. But... no.

I'd say it makes most sense to simply count switch sales from PS5 launch on. I'm assuming the Switch will hover around 17 million, give or take 3 million for the next three years, and there's little chance of the PS5 selling that much.

PS5 definitely has better buzz than XBox atm, but it's not like the one where Microsoft was just constantly shooting themselves in the foot. Microsoft also won't be launching at 100 dollars more most likely. So, I think they'll do a lot better.

Unless you want to argue that Nintendo shouldn't count at all, I can't see PS5 having greater than 50% marketshare.



Nautilus said:
JRPGfan said:

"jump started "their" generation".
Nintendo didnt jump start the 9th gen.
Only their own product line of consoles.

2 > 1.

XB and PS are launching soon (together, at the same time), and thats when the 9th gen starts.

"Even if you want to use the word in the context of sales, since you brought up the point of the Switch competing with the PS4 and X One, when the PS5 and Series X eventually launches, what will become of your argument?"

And what about the Switch competeing agains the PS4/XB1? is that just to be ignored then?

nautilus you use a odd meaning of the word generations.
The entire forum is pretty split on what it actually means, but Im not alone in thinking so (the majorty I think actually views it this way).
Also we ve had this same discussion so damn many times, this is my last reply on the matter.

" it will still be the only Nintendo system on the market to compete with the other companies. It's a simple math. And much as the PS5 and the Series X is a 9th gen, so is the Switch. There is absolutely no way to confuse this."

Soon as switch 2, launches in like 2022, your gonna say its the 10th gen.
Even though it probably spends more time competeing against the PS5/XSX, than it does the gen after that.

Nintendo isnt part of the "generations" anymore.
They launch their own products whenever they want, typically mid gen of the others.

Of course Nintendo started the 9th gen. It was the first one to launch a 9th gen console. If Sony launched the PS5 first, then they would have started the 9th gen.And yeah, if Nintendo launches the Switch 2 before the PS6 or Series X 2, it will be the start of the 10 gen. What's so confusing about it?

And no, you are in the minority. Just look at the poll and the answers. If the PS5 was "only" competing with the Series X in the 9th gen, I doubt it would have 70% of the votes on the No, considering most of the forum users are compromised of Nintendo and Sony fans. And the answers also show the same thing, that they don't think that will happen because Nintendo is just too strong right now.

If you want to compare 8th gen sales, then just compare them to the Wii U and the X One. Those are the 9th gen consoles. If you want to do it in a year by year basis, however, then it's fine to include the Switch, because you are comparing what each console did on their own on that day and moment.

And why is Nintendo not part of the "generation" discussion anymore? Is it fear that Nintendo will be so overwhelming better in the sales department that you want to remove them from the equation?

You know what? It's easier to make a thread and poll about this.

This forum has more nintendo fans, and xbox fans, proportional to the consoles market share, than the avg user base of each systems.
Nintendo especially is very heavly represented on VGChartz.

Even so, your thread, "Poll - Is Switch a 9th gen console?"  has the Switch at ~54% answearing "No" its not.





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COKTOE said:
Nautilus said:
I don't understand the mentality of excluding Nintendo here... they are all console manufacturers, they all are direct competitors, just with different products....

Some people do some crazy mental gymnastics here.

By my estimation the prevailing mentality on Vgchartz, historically and currently, is to not consider Nintendo a direct competitor to MS and Sony. Again and again. Through success and failure. I do not ascribed to this line of thinking, but feel it's quite pervasive.

Nintendo themselves said they arn't.
They arn't competeing in makeing a homeconsole, and instead would chase a blue ocean.
Their doing their own thing, and are fine with it.

Also alot of people (here) that own a switch, also own another system (PS/XB).
This means the switch is a go-together-with type of deal, instead of a either-or, thingy.
Which was nintendos plan, they're doing a differnt thing, but it sells well.



Considering the polls are saying 85% is looking to buy a ps5, I think Sony will get close to ps2 numbers.

Switch will obviously do great, but you can't really put Switch in the same market segment as ps5/ Series X.



You forgot the Switch is at its full beast mode. PS5 wont have the luxury of having a console like Wii U or early Switch days to be in the same market share.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

JRPGfan said:
Nautilus said:

Why ignore the Switch?

I view it as last gen.
Last gen Nintendo released 2 consoles, the Wii U, and then afterwards the Switch.
Part of the issue is sony & xbox gens are so long, and nintendo ended the wii u early to launch a new one.
Switch is a in between sort of thingy.

I thought market share is about what is on the market right now. PS5 will be compared to the Switch regardless what generation it is or not. 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

goopy20 said:
Considering the polls are saying 85% is looking to buy a ps5, I think Sony will get close to ps2 numbers.

Switch will obviously do great, but you can't really put Switch in the same market segment as ps5/ Series X.

Polls arn't always accurate.
However I do believe PS5 might actually have slightly higher % of market share than the PS4 did.
Alot of people got burnt on the XB1, and may have regretted going that route this gen, and then swap next gen.

Not sure the split will be as drastic as 85% PS5 vs 15% XSX.