Neo visions might make it a bit difficult for newer players. But I believe that's another thing about GAAS. That after they have a certain amount of players they start milking thouse players and veterans will tend to stick around just for the inevestment they have made. I also been a free player but even still all the time I put into brave exvius would make it hard for me to leave even if the games quality drops. 

Yes from time to time I get pissed but still stick around. Neo Vision might make it problematic even for old players and may be the thing that will relevel the whole game.

GAAS games are a little bit trickier than your standard games. GAAS games depend heavily on user feedback and that is why it is release in early access all the time. It also needs to generate a lot of revenue to make sure it actually has interests before investing a lot of time and money into it.

Generally, the winner of the last generation doesn't win the following one. Odds are PS5 does worse. What is odd is that right now I'd say that Sony is going to suffer from disinterest and Microsoft still needs to prove a lot. Microsoft's line-up is generally better but its a question of if those titles will shift Series X. Sony's issue is all of their games are retreads of PS4 titles, which usually results in a system doing worse. No one has committed any major blunders but no one looks strong either. Both could sell poorly if the economy tanks from COVID.

No doubt, we see a lot of games trying to copy others and be the next big one but most fail, it really is hard to be sucesful on GAAS models.

Um, PS4 won't have achieved 50% market share, unless we are considering Wii U to be the main Nintendo one. When PS4 stops at most 140 mil, Switch will have done at least 100 mil and Xbox at least 50 mil. That's 48% and that's giving them very favorable projections. Realistically I expect PS4 no more than 125 and Switch to match that, so more like them both getting 41.6% and Xbox One tanking.

And no, I don't think the PS5 will do nearly the numbers of the PS4. Blockbuster games seem to be taking longer to make on their own combined with Covid-19 production delays and projected mass unemployment because of the second wave of shutdowns means it's probably going to have a very rocky start. The only thing that could change that is if they forget initial profit and play the long game by releasing for PS5 for super cheap.

True, which is why Microsoft might want to consider making XBL free and include these games in xbox game pass day 1.

You can't directly compare a modern game and a game from 1994.   That is 26 years ago.  The industry has grown a ton since then.  The SNES was the top console of the generation and only sold 49.1 million units.  Just by rough numbers, the 9.3 million that DKC sold in the mid 90s, is about the equivalent of selling 20 million today in terms of popularity.

Someone up above also mentioned GoldenEye.  Both DKC and GoldenEye were the 3rd best selling games on their respective consoles.

The other issue is directly comparing GAAS games to regular games is pretty problematic.  It is a different business model entirely, and there is nothing from 1994 even remotely similar.  With regular games, you just need to know the sales (although DKC also has virtual console sales now which we have no numbers on).  With a GAAS, the total number of players and the active player base can tell a very different story.

"In July 2020, Rare announced that Sea of Thieves had passed 15 million players. Over 3.3 million players played in June 2020. 1 million players had purchased the game on Steam since its launch on June 3rd, 2020."
https://news.xbox.com/en-us/2020/07/20/sea-of-thieves-passes-15-million-players-since-launch/