6. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics – 20,094 / 215,305
13. [PS4] The Last of Us Part II – 4,223 / 218,191

It seems like we have to wait 1 more week until Clubhouse defeats TLOU2

NSW - 23 (8 of which are third party)

PS4 - 7 (5 of which are third party)

This was a good week for PS4 third party games, since three new ones hit the charts.  In spite of that Switch still has 8/13 = 62% of third party games in the top 30 chart.  Even on a good week for PS4, Switch still has a majority of the third party games.

TOP 20 Switch Famitsu 2020:

1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 5.114.386
2. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 666.827
3. Ring Fit Adventure - 641.421
4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 366.949
5. Smash Ultimate - 298.728
6. Minecraft - 292.733
7. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX - 259.513
8. Splatoon 2 - 233.439
9. Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch - 224.414
10. Super Mario Party - 222.749
11. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics -215.305
12. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 156.698
13. Super Mario Maker 2 -135.776
14. Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition - 128.989
15. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 128.438
16. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 - 119.007
17. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 - 117.954
18. Fishing Spirits - 115.414
19. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 114.834
20. Trials of Mana - 100.451

TOTAL: 9.654.025

• Ring Fit Adventure is set to become the 2nd best selling game on the Switch for 2020.
• It's entirely possible with enough stock Ring Fit Adventure to sell over 1.5M units this year
• Elsewhere Splatoon 2 and Clubhouse Games are both moving up the charts in the past few weeks
• Next week eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 will join the top 20 slottings in somewhere around 13-18th place
• We are also expecting Paper Mario to sell around 100K at launch and have good legs in the coming months
• I expect Pokemon Mystery Dungeon to eventually exit the Top 20 chart as more games are released this year. 

Seems like pokemon isn't selling more than 200k in the rest of the year

It makes me wonder how much the franchise is dependent of Christmas gift effect compared to other Nintendo IPs

Pokemon are always released on Christmas season or at least very close to it and its first quarter sales are always mindblowing, but their catalog sales are weaker compared to other Nintendo IPs

Curious to see how a Pokemon game would perform if it was released in March like Animal Crossing. How much weaker would be the first quarter and how better would be it's legs in the next quarters

Btw these were the numbers for the last Pokemon games on the first half in the year after their releases:

Pokémon OmegaRuby / AlphaSaphire 207.780
Pokémon Sun / Moon – 527.862
Pokémon Ultra Sun / Ultra Moon – 215.281
Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu / Eevee - 230.134

All those games were released almost at the same point as Sword and Shield (3rd friday of November), so I guess it's a fair comparison

Sword and Shield is doing slightly better than Sun and Moon that was selling ~4k weekly at this point (and Sun and Moon had a much bigger user base from 3DS)

In other hand, Sw&Sw weekly sales seems on pair with Let's Go, which is not that good as this one is a main entry and Switch as been selling like hotcakes in the last months (and of course, Let's Go don't have a DLC)

I wouldn't make a judgment on this yet, due to your own reasoning. Out of the current games, Pokemon would be the third best selling game during December for sure. Its still a very popular Christmas gift and there is DLC planned instead of a 3rd version. It doesn't have the potential to sell as much as New Horizon or Ring Fit Adventure but it will easily surpass 200K during December alone. The game will probably finish higher than Smash did last year or Splatoon 2 did in 2018. 

• 2018 Splatoon 2 - 1.122.324
• 2019 Smash Ultimate - 1.092.397

Historically Pokemon games haven't done well in their second holiday season because Pokemon Company always releases the 3rd version. This time their marketing would be focused around an expansion around November and December. This will revive interest in the game and make it a popular Christmas gift alongside New Horizon.

My guestestimate would be at least 1.25M for the year. 

Good point, but 3rd versions generally comes in the 3rd year, not 2nd. From my memory only Sun & Moon was replaced right after the release, but 3DS was dying so Nintendo kinda rushed its release

If anything sometimes is the remakes that replace main entries as Christmas gifts: FR/LG for 3rd gen, HG/SS for 4th gen, OR/AS for 6th gen

5th gen still the only exception, Black/White wasn't replaced by anything until June 2012 

Pokemon Sword/Shield the work of the devil confirmed.

TOP 10 Switch Famitsu 2020 Q2:

1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 2.396.303
2. Ring Fit Adventure - 328.387
3. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 171.620(new)
4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 164.113
5. Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition - 123.920(new)
6. Smash Ultimate - 114.495
7. Splatoon 2 - 114.226
8. Trials of Mana - 100.451(new)
9. Minecraft - 94.762
10. Super Mario Party - 85.551

TOTAL: 3.693.828

TOTAL HARDWARE: 966.530

TOP 10 Switch Famitsu 2020 Q3:

1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 109.666
2. eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 - 94.876(new)
3. Ring Fit Adventure - 63.546
4. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 43.685
5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 20.915
6. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 15.968
7. Splatoon 2 - 15.564
8. Smash Ultimate - 14.011
9. Minecraft - 12.071
10. Super Mario Party - 10.234

TOTAL: 400.536

TOTAL HARDWARE: 149.129

• New Horizon is selling 73.5% of hardware total for Q3, Ring Fit Adventure to 42.6%, Clubhouse Games to 29.3%, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe to 14%, Splatoon 2 & Pokemon Sword / Shield to 10%, Smash to 9%, Minecraft to 8%, Super Mario Party to 6.8%
• eBaseball is the first new game for Q3, I expect it to have a soft drop if the supply is there and surpass 150K for the quarter next week
• Paper Mario will join in 3rd place next week
• So far the only other major game I can think of this quarter is Captain Tsubasa which launches at the end of August
• No >100K games dated for September, expecting a Direct very soon

Hardware should be massive next week as Nintendo tends to release extra supply alongside major releases.