Marth said:
Compared to what? |
Successful games.
Nintendo with the Switch:
The Last of Us Part II sold through more than 4m copies during its first weekend. Lifetime sales expectations for the PS4 version alone? | |||
Less than 7 million | 120 | 10.17% | |
7.0 - 7.9 million | 47 | 3.98% | |
8.0 - 8.9 million | 70 | 5.93% | |
9.0 - 9.9 million | 77 | 6.53% | |
10.0 - 11.9 million | 260 | 22.03% | |
12.0 - 13.9 million | 170 | 14.41% | |
14.0 - 15.9 million | 179 | 15.17% | |
16.0 - 17.9 million | 91 | 7.71% | |
18.0 - 20.0 million | 62 | 5.25% | |
More than 20 million | 104 | 8.81% | |
Total: | 1,180 |
Marth said:
Compared to what? |
Successful games.
Nintendo with the Switch:
Marth said:
List them With their concrete sales numbers |
If a game like Clubhouse Games passes it this week that is not a good sign, that is a crash and burn IMO. And these are just last weeks numbers. Anyway you slice it the game is a failure in a VERY important market and comparing it to other failures to make it seem like a success is very disingenuous.
Running quick numbers Japan makes up roughly 11% of console install base (about 8% of the PS4 install base), that is a very important % of the industry just based on install base not taking into account the amount of software sales they take up (will look into that further later as well).
NA makes up about 42% (33% of PS4) so it is a very important factor of overall success of the console version of video games and Europe makes up 33% (42% of PS4) so almost every PS4 launch is a success there. That is why I'm curious about NA numbers because American video game trends tend to be more in line with the Japanese market which does not bode well for the legs of TLOU2.
Last edited by scottslater - on 10 July 2020Nintendo with the Switch:
Marth said:
And you still don't read appearantly.
Sony does not even need Japan to get their games to 10M+ sales. And now you have looped back to Japan. Where I already described how the game is not a failure. If you look closely you can also see that basically all of these games are not in the same genre and style as Tlou and mostly have a way bigger history as an IP. |
See my updated post, you fail to see what my point is. NA Video Game trends mirror Japanese Video Game trends currently, not a good sign for TLOU2 to perform well outside of Europe long term, even more so when you know that a PS5 version will be coming.
And you fail to read my post as well, I said the game was a failure in Japan compared to other genres and franchises. "it is still a failure compared to other games there is my point."
Care to link that claim highlighted?
Nintendo with the Switch:
Sony exclusives have no legs yet many have legged out to be 10M+ Sellers.
Horizon 2 weeks 2.7M, already >10M.
God of War 3.1M 3 Days, already >10M
Spider Man 3.3M 3 Days, already 13M+
The Last of Us 3M in a Month, already 20M+
Uncharted 4 2.7M 1 Week, already 16M+
Last of Us 2 4.?M 3 Days,.....
scottslater said: NA Video Game trends mirror Japanese Video Game trends currently |
You have no idea what you're talking about. Plenty of western games that do well in NA fair poorly in Japan and of course the vice-versa too. A game doesn't have to have blockbuster sales in Japan to do amazing in NA.
The NA market in no way mirrors the Japanese market.
SilenceDeadly said: Sony exclusives have no legs yet many have legged out to be 10M+ Sellers. Horizon 2 weeks 2.7M, already >10M. God of War 3.1M 3 Days, already >10M Spider Man 3.3M 3 Days, already 13M+ The Last of Us 3M in a Month, already 20M+ Uncharted 4 2.7M 1 Week, already 16M+ Last of Us 2 4.?M 3 Days,..... |
Compared to Nintendo already with 9 in 3 years... And if we combine sales New Super Mario Bros. U makes it 10
Nintendo games are still on the top selling charts every week/month even years after release, Sony games do not do that.
And I didn't say they didn't sell well, I said they didn't have legs... almost every one of those games you listed had 25% of their sales in the first few weeks, that's not good legs and the TLOU has roughly 10m on the PS4
Nintendo with the Switch:
scottslater said:
Compared to Nintendo already with 9 in 3 years... And if we combine sales New Super Mario Bros. U makes it 10 Nintendo games are still on the top selling charts every week/month even years after release, Sony games do not do that. And I didn't say they didn't sell well, I said they didn't have legs... almost every one of those games you listed had 25% of their sales in the first few weeks, that's not good legs and the TLOU has roughly 10m on the PS4 |
So you are a big nNntendo fan......makes sense.
Well seeing as Nintendo is more of a 1st party console one would expect a majority of their games to remain in the top selling charts every week/month. But that is just my opinion. Because I definitely don't have a single 3rd party game on my Switch currently.
Also so all Nintendo games that had a great first week and are 10mil or less have bad legs? Or any company for that matter? Just trying to be clear here for myself for future knowledge.
The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...
PSN: StlUzumaki23
Marth said:
https://www.famitsu.com/ranking/game-sales/before_last/ I don't know how your japanese is but the red bar is basically how much stock is available. It has 5 different stages. FF XV for example had problems selling through its first shitment in Japan and got discounted heavily to get rid of stock. Tlou2 has none of that. Rather the opposite. Where do you get your info that NA is mirroring Japan when it comes to trends? |
I said currently, buying used games is not exactly an easy thing right now and digital sales are up overall. We don't have a great deal of data on US sales but we do get from Amazon (which has a good portion of the market and probably an increased amount at the moment with the current world situation) buying trends are very similar when looking at overall sales charts positions. Hence why I asked if we had any data on US sales yet.
Nintendo with the Switch:
TheBlackNaruto said:
So you are a big nNntendo fan......makes sense. Well seeing as Nintendo is more of a 1st party console one would expect a majority of their games to remain in the top selling charts every week/month. But that is just my opinion. Because I definitely don't have a single 3rd party game on my Switch currently. Also so all Nintendo games that had a great first week and are 10mil or less have bad legs? Or any company for that matter? Just trying to be clear here for myself for future knowledge. |
Yeah, I would view it that way about legs but it is a "subjective" topic overall. If you fall off of best selling charts within a couple weeks/months after release that can't be a good thing for overall sales (even more so when you take into count the amount that these games get discounted and bundled) and making money.
I'm a Nintendo fan, but you provided some data and I provided data on what I think presents a better idea of what "legs" look like.
Doesn't really make sense to expect Nintendo 1st party console games to consistently do well and not expect Sony titles to do the same with how much people like to say that the PS4 is successful because of their 1st party games...
Nintendo with the Switch:
scottslater said:
Yeah, I would view it that way about legs but it is a "subjective" topic overall. If you fall off of best selling charts within a couple weeks/months after release that can't be a good thing for overall sales (even more so when you take into count the amount that these games get discounted and bundled) and making money. I'm a Nintendo fan, but you provided some data and I provided data on what I think presents a better idea of what "legs" look like. Doesn't really make sense to expect Nintendo 1st party console games to consistently do well and not expect Sony titles to do the same with how much people like to say that the PS4 is successful because of their 1st party games... |
I would agree it is semi subjective as far as legs goes. So in saying that it means you could be right and others can be wrong and vice versa. Do you have any proof that says that if a game falls off the top selling charts in the first couple of weeks/months is always bad for a games overall sales and making money? Or is that just your personal thought?
That a big part of why the PS4 has been successful, because of Sony 1st party games. Which have been doing consistently well. So I guess I don't see where the issue is. This generation has been one of the biggest if not THE biggest for Sony 1st party games and their sales. To think other wise would mean one would think that almost all Sony 1st party games before this generation did not do well.
So I guess I am just at a loss to how you came to your stance.
The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...
PSN: StlUzumaki23