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Forums - Sales Discussion - July 17th faceoff; which will sell more, Ghost of Tsushima or Paper Mario: The Origami King?

 

Which will sell more?

Ghost of Tsushima 50 47.62%
 
Paper Mario 55 52.38%
 
Total:105
DonFerrari on 16 May 2020
newwil7l said:
Surprised this poll is close. The views for the Paper Mario trailer are far ahead of GoT.

I was surprised as well on the balance of the voting. When I voted it was like 40% GoT and 60% PM.



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Chaimo on 16 May 2020

I think GoT won't be the hit we excpected when it was revealed at E3 2018. I guess it has a shot outselling Sekiro (which sits at ~4m combined) but I'm sure that PM is going to reach 5m at least. 

It would be a whole other story if we knew that GoT would be re-released on PS5. Though I'd still give PM a slight edge.



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curl-6 on 16 May 2020
Mnementh said:

Ghosts of Tsushima probably will be more frontloaded, so expect it to win first week. But Ghost also could get a Definitive port on PS5, which would give the game a second wind and propels it ahead. 

That's a good point and one I hadn't considered. For the record, this is only talking about the PS4 release.



The_Liquid_Laser on 17 May 2020

It's name is Tsushima
It's got a black belt in karate
Working hard for Sony
It's got to discipline it's body

Cause they know that it's demanding
To defeat those evil paper things
I know it can beat them
Oh Tsushima they don't believe me
But you won't let those papers cut me
Tsushima they don't believe me
But you won't let those papers defeat me
Tsushima

Think of this to the following tune:



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

Oneeee-Chan!!! on 17 May 2020

Interesting results

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%201-m&q=ghost%20of%20tsushima,paper%20mario



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Shiken on 17 May 2020
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Interesting results

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%201-m&q=ghost%20of%20tsushima,paper%20mario

I would not say that is interesting so much as expected.  Paper Mario was just announced, and a good number of people are thirsty for info.  Ghost however we have known about for quite some time, and many people (including myself) are already sold on the game and are just waiting for its release.

So I would say this does little to show favor one way or the other TBH.  In fact, I would go as far as to say that it would be more interesting if GoT search rates were equal to or greater than PM.



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Oneeee-Chan!!! on 17 May 2020
Shiken said:
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Interesting results

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%201-m&q=ghost%20of%20tsushima,paper%20mario

I would not say that is interesting so much as expected.  Paper Mario was just announced, and a good number of people are thirsty for info.  Ghost however we have known about for quite some time, and many people (including myself) are already sold on the game and are just waiting for its release.

So I would say this does little to show favor one way or the other TBH.  In fact, I would go as far as to say that it would be more interesting if GoT search rates were equal to or greater than PM.

What interested me was that Paper Mario was popular in North America and the samurai game wers popular in other areas.
After all, few people have ever heard the name Tsushima. Everyone knows the Mongolian Empire.



BlackBeauty on 17 May 2020

Paper Mario and it won’t even be close lol.

Giving me Death Stranding/Luigi’s Mansion 3 flash backs.



The_Liquid_Laser on 17 May 2020
Oneeee-Chan!!! said:
Shiken said:

I would not say that is interesting so much as expected.  Paper Mario was just announced, and a good number of people are thirsty for info.  Ghost however we have known about for quite some time, and many people (including myself) are already sold on the game and are just waiting for its release.

So I would say this does little to show favor one way or the other TBH.  In fact, I would go as far as to say that it would be more interesting if GoT search rates were equal to or greater than PM.

What interested me was that Paper Mario was popular in North America and the samurai game wers popular in other areas.
After all, few people have ever heard the name Tsushima. Everyone knows the Mongolian Empire.

Good point.  Additionally, Paper Mario got started on the N64 which had more relative popularity in North America compared to other regions.



curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

curl-6 on 17 May 2020

I think Ghost of Tsushima will take this; it seems to have more hype behind it, while the Nintendo fanbase seems lukewarm and indecisive towards Origami King. The Switch boost should apply and I expect PMOK will still go on to be the best selling Paper Mario game to date, but the series has never been huge and I expect it'll do less than 6 million lifetime, while I think Tsushima can exceed that.

Oneeee-Chan!!! said:

After all, few people have ever heard the name Tsushima. 

I had; pivotal pre-dreadnaught battleship engagement in 1905 where Japan crushed Russia, strongly influencing the future course of naval warfare doctrine. :p