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Forums - Sales Discussion - July 17th faceoff; which will sell more, Ghost of Tsushima or Paper Mario: The Origami King?

 

Which will sell more?

Ghost of Tsushima 50 47.62%
 
Paper Mario 55 52.38%
 
Total:105

I think Ghost may edge it by a million or so.
Expecting 5 million for Ghost and around 4 million for Paper Mario which would be excellent for each game.



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Past Paper Mario sales for reference:

Super Paper Mario: 3.73m

Sticker Star: 2.41m

Thousand Year Door: 2.25m

Paper Mario 64: 1.38m

Colour Splash: 870k



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

I think Ghost Of Tsushima will sell more. Just such a big and ambitious game. Paper Mario games usually doesn't do amazing numbers.



How much do Sucker Punch games usually sell?



             

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Captain_Yuri said:
How much do Sucker Punch games usually sell?

In recent years...

Infamous Second Son: 3.01m

Infamous: 2.99m

Infamous 2: 1.87m



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Captain_Yuri said:
How much do Sucker Punch games usually sell?

VGC have it about 3M.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Paper Mario will sell more, I don't doubt it for a second. Ghost will sell well, over 7 mil I would wager. However 1st party IPs have been breaking records on Switch, and sales for most Nintendo software seem to exceed expectations.

A few things to note here.

1. Regardless of how the other titles sold due to being niche, PM is the next/only NEW 1st party title with a release date. PM has the spotlight here, and sales will reflect that.

2. Switch owners do not know what to expect after PM. There will likely be more shadow drop announcements like this one as time goes on, but for now this would be the only NEW 1st party game not in limbo so the ever expanding Switch install base will feel more inclined to check it out. The last game in this situation...ACNH. Not to say that is the only reason ACNH blew up the way it did...I am just pointing out this particular similarly of the situation.

3. It is Mario. Despite not being a traditional platformer, it is just that much more recognized overall.

Now of course this is based on the assumption that the game does not suck and completely flop based on word of mouth. But I feel confident that this game will do well and end up on top here.



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Hmm hard to tell but we have seen some hot damn sales numbers from the switch when it comes to software. I will say Paper Mario but GoT won't be far behind.



             

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So are we going to star seeing Ghost Mario crossover art like we had with Doomcrossing?