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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Bolder Prediction: [So Far 8.18mil] Animal Crossing New Horizons will be 12mil in Japan Lifetime

 

It will sell (ship+digital)

Under 7mil 5 10.87%
 
Around 7.5mil 5 10.87%
 
8mil 3 6.52%
 
8.5mil 4 8.70%
 
9mil 3 6.52%
 
9.5mil 3 6.52%
 
10mil 3 6.52%
 
10.5mil 2 4.35%
 
11mil 2 4.35%
 
12mil 16 34.78%
 
Total:46
The_Liquid_Laser said:
Heh, it's not enough for AC to break the record, but it has to do it by several million.

I really don't know what it will sell in Japan, but it looks like it's going to be a ton. I voted 10m in the poll, but I really have no clue.

I honestly don’t feel like I can brag anymore with the original thread....... feels like an underachievement lol



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Mar1217 said:
Plz make one of your crazy predictions for Xenoblade so we can enjoy another successful entry !!

Lmao, Xenoblade Chronicles 3 to sell 5mil :P



IcaroRibeiro said:
@tbone51 please make a 10 million bold prediction for metroid 4 prime ;D

I would love too, that be a bigger story than BotW doing 20mil imo. As for your other post, it’s on course to do 6mil ship+digital by end of June ;P



Metallox said:
You want roughly 1 out of every Japanese to have a copy of the game. That's nuts.

Naw, lifetime not this year xD. NSW should be around 17mil by years end and I put AC roughly above 8mil by that time 



sethnintendo said:
Finally a bold prediction. If someone says too bold then you know you are doing something right or wrong. I'm proud of you.

Yes that’s why I made a second one cuz my first one (I actually had it at 7.5mil and then bumped it to 8mil) felt like I was cheating lmao

UnderwaterFunktown said:
Considering its probably closing in on 5 mil already if you include digital, it's certainly not impossible.
But it's the attachment rate that gets me skeptical. 40-45 % is significantly more than even any of the Pokémon games, which have always been the definition of system sellers in Japan.
If the Switch itself somehow catches up to the DS, it could maybe happen, but while it is ofc dangerous to doubt your predictions I'll go with a slightly safer 10,5 mil.

I think NSW will sell no less that. 27mil but no more than 33mil. AC could possibly be over 8mil and if it is close to 9mil then this prediction has a chance. If it’s under 8mil I’ll admit defeat



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Do we have any idea what the digital sales are or do we have to wait till next quarter report.  I know one site said 5 million but then people trashed the site.



10m would be bold enough already, beating the previous record by ~2m. 12m is pretty bonkers.

The game is certainly selling at a staggering pace, but the question of the saturation point is an important one. Pokémon was a phenomenon back in the day and ultimately had its legs cut short with the altered releases of Blue and especially Yellow, so 10m for a game in Japan is within the realms of possibility. But 12m? That's certainly more tbone-ish than a few other of your predictions lately, so I'll give it to you that you've been getting back in the groove.

So...

Best-selling game of all time in Japan: Yes.
10m lifetime: Maybe. I am 50/50 on that one because the first several weeks had amazing sales.
12m lifetime: Nope.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

sethnintendo said:

Do we have any idea what the digital sales are or do we have to wait till next quarter report.  I know one site said 5 million but then people trashed the site.

Not yet, we will get an idea May 7th



RolStoppable said:
10m would be bold enough already, beating the previous record by ~2m. 12m is pretty bonkers.

-Correct but I rather predict more near impossible bets. Like you said 10mil is bold enough... but not for me!!!


The game is certainly selling at a staggering pace, but the question of the saturation point is an important one. Pokémon was a phenomenon back in the day and ultimately had its legs cut short with the altered releases of Blue and especially Yellow, so 10m for a game in Japan is within the realms of possibility. But 12m? That's certainly more tbone-ish than a few other of your predictions lately, so I'll give it to you that you've been getting back in the groove.

-Lmao yes true, that’s why I rather go even more crazier than before. Felt as though it’s been on the safer side lately.


So...


Best-selling game of all time in Japan: Yes.
10m lifetime: Maybe. I am 50/50 on that one because the first several weeks had amazing sales.
12m lifetime: Nope.

-that’s the spirit!!! 



T-bonish. That cracked me up. Should be trademark