There's a lot of legitimate ways in which Trump can pull a win.
1. There's tightening polling in Pennsylvania, 2. Biden weakness with Latinos in Florida and Nevada, 3. Wisconsin questionable voting laws, 4. Democrats are overwhelmingly choosing vote by mail, 5. and Trump's aggressive push to flip Minnesota.
It's not over yet.
1. Biden dropped from 50+ to 50% there. Either way that's not enough for Trump to beat him, and I really doubt Trump will be able to pass him there. Also, Biden being from there certainly helps him in the end.
2. Trump ain't doing too well with Latinx people either, which is understandable considering how he treated them in general over the last 4 years. But I agree they probably will have a lower turnout this year due to this. Still, Biden is at close to 50% in Florida and hasn't lost a poll in Nevada since October last year, so before he even was nominated.
3. Yeah, those are really something else. Still, Biden is polling above 50% here, so he should be safe.And while Biden dropped down in the polls, so did Trump. The gap didn't narrow, in fact, it's growing slightly. If he would loose that one, I'll call foul on it for sure.
4. Why should this be a bad thing? Because of the shenanigans at the USPS?
5. Well, going by the polls, not only is Biden leading by 5% over the polls from last month, the gap is widening in the latest polls, not narrowing. Trump only had one winning poll here - and that one is from a pollster banned by 538 for faking numbers, so take of that poll what you will.Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 14 September 2020
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