PAOerfulone said: Does anyone know what the polling numbers were for Trump/Clinton in 2016 at this time? As well as for Obama/Romney in 2012 when Obama was up for re-election? |
Here, courtesy of Wikipedia:
2016:
National
Statewide
2012:
National
Statewide
And for comparison, here are the current ones:
National
Statewide
Long story short, Trump was much higher in the polls, averaging around 44% in late August with spikes to 49% (41% this late August and spiking to 45% right now) and managed to win quite a few of them, especially those in early September where he crushed Clinton in most polls.
Meanwhile Clinton was polling in the high 40's quite often, but also dropped below 40% in other polls, averaging at 46%. She was far less consistent in her polling numbers than Biden does and fluctuated wildly from poll to poll, who is averaging 49% for late August, though he dropped a bit in the latest polls - but still stays ahead of Trump despite if it in all the polls, something that was never true for Clinton.
In fact, the last time Trump beat Biden in a national poll was on April 3rd, 45 to 43% He managed to match Biden 4 times after that, but never managed to get past him again, while Trump and Clinton both had polls with them ahead at least once every week.
Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 31 August 2020