Many thanks.

I have a feeling that if Biden keeps a difference of at least 5% he is safe to win as I think the "silent majority effect" equals to around 3-4% of the votes so at this moment I think Biden is still alright to win. Although in US is more complicated because you need to track it state by state and maybe a good portion of this Biden advantage comes from the coasts.

ANother interesting impact I heard about is that young people have a higher tendency of not going to vote for some reason, older people are more engaged into voting no matter what and that also might have played a part in Trump winning in 2016. No idea if it is true though.

Here you can see the polling averages in the different states:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_United_States_presidential_election

As you can see, Biden is beating Trump in practically every swing state, some even with a big margin (8% in Florida for instance), and is even competitive in some traditionally red states (Georgia and Texas are within a 1% margin).

The democrats are also winning the race for the senate right now:

https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/2020-senate-polling-map

Thanks, I think one interesting exercise would be to take a look at the pools in those swing states before the election in 2016 vs the final the result to check how far off they were (if they were). I might do it later, really curious about it.

Now you made me curious too

Thought this was a really good comical take on how much of a failure Trump has been.
Hopefully at the ballot box people reflect on what has occurred over the last few years.

So what will the democrats call this new country if Biden wins? Russia and China are taken btw.

Are you asserting that if the democrats win, democracy goes out the window?

It already has in several democrat run cities. The mob rules now.

How about New Zealand?

https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/16/asia/new-zealand-ardern-election-delay-coronavirus/index.html

Ah crap. That's taken too, by recently praised leadership that's now dealing with covid again and delaying the election because of it. Good there's a standout P.M/President who's doing it right by setting a proper example.

Considering the democrats have run the country over the last century with:

* Obama. 2009-2017.
* Bill Clinton. 1992-1996.
* Jimmy Carter. 1977-1981.
* Lyndon Johnson. 1963-1969.
* John F. Kennedy. 1961-1963.
* Harry Truman. 1945-1953.
* Franklin Roservelt.1933-1945.
* Woodrow Wilson. 1913-1921

That is decades worth of democrats being in power... And democracy is still alive in the United States.

I think we can throw your assertion out the window at this point, historic precedence absolutely refutes your assertion.
But you know... Facts and stuff.

New Zealand has done a really good job in handling COVID. At-least they don't have millions of people dead.

Trump could learn a thing or two from Jacinda Ardern, who I based my leadership diploma around, she actually isn't selfish and has empathy for other people unlike Trump who is all about Trump.