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Forums - Nintendo - Nintendo Quarterly Results (Switch 52.48m, Pokemon 16m)

curl-6 said:

So with the expansions this year instead of a new game adding to its legs, Sword/Shield looks very likely to end up the second highest selling Pokemon game ever. I guess there really were a lot of folks wanting to be able to play a core Pokemon on console.

Also, Astral Chain looks on track to be one of Platinum's most successful games to date, which hopefully will strengthen their relationship with Nintendo going forwards.

Unfortunately, we're still waiting.



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Edit: Wrong Thread



Dulfite said:

Since I'm doubtful Botw2 will come prior to 2021, I doubt it will have the time to sell like the original before the console winds down in popularity in anticipation of next gen. I'd be curious what the drop in % was from OoT to MM.

Oot sold 7.6m and MM sold 3.33m



RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

Ring Fit passing 20 million seems like a bit of a long shot.

It is, but never say never. There was a time when nobody thought that Mario Kart 8 Deluxe will go beyond 20m, but now it's on pace to hit 30m by the end of 2020.

RFA had a low start because Nintendo was cautious with production (the box of the game is huge and takes a lot of shelf space, so that's something retailers aren't fans of), but word of mouth for RFA is very good, so it can realistically reach shipments of 1m+ in each quarter this year.

Amnesia said:

And I have carefully saved this for later...You looked too much confident lately on other topics, considering that YOU know the truth and other are dumbs. I hate people like this, those who know everything, give lessons to everyone and talk to them like if they were stupid. I have also tested you with a question about Nintendo"s stock where you just answered something empty and incomplete regarding my question, but still with this little tone of : "wait, let me explain you everything, I will teach you how it work."

So be sure I will show this later to remind you how you were wrong in your predictions.

It's understandable that you think that way, because I've strongly disagreed with your posts on this site a lot of times. The tone in my responses to you has been harsh, but that's because I respond in accordance to how other people come across. The tone of your posts is not uncommon to be aggressive, so you'll get responses of the same kind. Basically, if you work on being nicer on this site, people in general will be nicer to you as well.

If you've bookmarked my above post to shove it in my face later, you are in for a disappointment by default because there isn't much of a prediction in there. "Three of the seven games should be made" isn't much of a challenge when one of the games is already released and another one is announced; so there's only 1 out of 5 left to go. "At least one of the seven suggestions will sell 20m+" isn't much of a long shot either.

Dulfite said:

MK9 isn't coming to Switch 1 in my opinion.

If they even make SMB5, I agree, but I'm doubtful they are making that right now. They already released A game, plus DLC expansion, plus SMM, plus Tropical Freeze. The 2D side scrolling market may be tapped out on Switch and they may wait until Switch 2.

Since I'm doubtful Botw2 will come prior to 2021, I doubt it will have the time to sell like the original before the console winds down in popularity in anticipation of next gen. I'd be curious what the drop in % was from OoT to MM.

If SMO 2 yes, but again I'm doubtful it will happen.

No to Pokemon Remake. Already Let's go and one main game, the Pokemon market will be mostly tapped out I think by that point. Probably still 10-15 mil though.

Ring For shortages are killing it. I don't think it will break even 15 mil.

What is Switch Sports?

Switch Sports is a re-interpretation of Wii Sports. Of course not plain tennis, golf, bowling, baseball and boxing, but a continuation of how Wii Sports Resort had already built on the first game. Switch Sports is basically what a properly developed Wii Sports 3 would have been, similar to what Ring Fit Adventure is to Wii Fit. Not the same plain old that people already know, but an evolution of it.

I would call it Mii Sports.  I think the Wii branding still has value, especially now as a lot of people who played it as children are getting old enough to be nostalgia and have disposable income.  Obviously calling it Wii Sports wouldn't make a whole lot of sense (even though Nintendo kept the 3D in Mario 3D world) so this is the next best thing.



Chicho said:
Dulfite said:

Since I'm doubtful Botw2 will come prior to 2021, I doubt it will have the time to sell like the original before the console winds down in popularity in anticipation of next gen. I'd be curious what the drop in % was from OoT to MM.

Oot sold 7.6m and MM sold 3.33m

So a 43.8% drop.



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SpokenTruth said:
Keep in mind that MM required the RAM expansion pack and released 1 year before the GC launched.

BotW 2 will not require new hardware and is possibly releasing near the peak sales of the console. I don't expect it to drop as hard as MM did.

Don't jinx it. Nintendo could potentially release a Switch Pro model and make BotW2 a Pro exclusive.



xMetroid said:
I'm shocked at Pkmn doing 16 millions already. Usually they dont have much legs but this one having dlc for a whole year might fix it. It will for sure pass 20 millions which hasn't been done for the franchise in a long long time.

MK8 almost at 23 millions dang.
Botw going to surpass SMO this year, which is crazy. Both will get to 20 millions eventually and with Smash, Pokemon and maybe animal crossing, that's like 6 games... mind blowing.

Also, great hardware numbers, I think that the VGchartz numbers were fine before adjustments imo, cause now we have like 1.4 million on shelves 1 month after these numbers and there where low stock situation in many countries so I'm sure there wasnt like 2.5 millions consoles on shelves at the end of December. Maybe I'm just dumb and it's late lmao.

Also great performance by LM3 which is going to be the best selling in its franchise like pretty much every title on the Switch.

Regarding Pokemon, they did say they were doing the DLC instead of releasing an Ultra Sword/Shield version of the game, so when everything is said and done, they will be comparing it with that in mind. But given that Sword/Shield are $60 games compared to $35 or $40 games on the 3DS, and given that even the DLC is $30+, I imagine that Sw/Sh revenue will compete with Sun/Moon + Ultra Sun / Ultra Moon.

Given the relevance of Pokemon with the release of Pokemon Go, that seems like a tough number to overcome, although I have no idea what the revenue of those games were.

And yeah, I'm very happy with LM3 performance. Was really hoping for some story content DLC, though. Fire Emblem TH deserved better, though.



Nintendo will not make exclusive games on 1 SKU. Because clearly it did not work on the New3DS.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Dulfite said:

Since I'm doubtful Botw2 will come prior to 2021

Yeah I can't see it coming out this year; the last three 3D Zeldas have been delayed and the last two took 5 years or more to make. They may make great games, but the Zelda team is incapable of putting out games in a reasonable timeframe.



SpokenTruth said:
curl-6 said:

Yeah I can't see it coming out this year; the last three 3D Zeldas have been delayed and the last two took 5 years or more to make. They may make great games, but the Zelda team is incapable of putting out games in a reasonable timeframe.

They had delays that dealt with brand new game engines, completely fresh starts and new hardware (Wii Motion + for Skyward Sword, Switch for BotW).  None of those are applicable here.

Yeah, and Breath of the Wild 2 seems to be just that, a direct sequel, unlike all 3D Zelda games preceding it (Majora is or isn't). It's for sure the first time that happens in the series since Zelda 2, in fact. 



My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first.