That's what I love about this country -- we're always committed to being #1.

I think I've felt the effects of the pandemic for the first time in the flesh. Went to a local Costco and the checkout line went to the other side of the store, next to the bakery. There were so many people, like I had never seen before in any kind of store in my life. And everyone was buying paper and bottled water, and that's considering the virus hasn't even reached my city! Jesus Christ.

The Diamond princess finally declared some more recoveries.

This is how it started:

February 1, 2020

Princess Cruises confirms that a guest from Hong Kong who traveled for five days on Diamond Princess from Yokohama (Tokyo) on January 20, and disembarked in Hong Kong on January 25, tested positive for coronavirus on February 1, six days after leaving the ship.

It is currently March 19th. There are still 14 serious/critical cases and 178 active cases. 527 have recovered and 7 died. (Some guests were repatriated and recovered or died back home)

The ship went into quarantine on Februari 4th. It's now over 6 weeks later! It can take a long time to get cured from this disease.



Meanwhile the new cases per day are going up fast. Test capacity increasing is likely contributing to that. 20.5K new cases yesterday, up from 15.7K the day before. There are a total of 219K cases detected so far. The number of deaths and suspected death rate should give some indication of how many undetected cases there are. A lower bound since you don't die instantly. If the 3.4% number is accurate, there are at least 44K undetected cases walking around. If the figure is closer to 2%, 229K undetected cases. 1% -> 677K undetected.

I don't know what's more worrying, a higher death rate or so many undetected cases it might be too late for whatever we're doing. The more benign the more unstoppable.

Feels like only yesterday the USA was at 4000 cases.
Now its ~9500.

What the hell..... that went quick.

This is your daily reminder that you don't have to tell every second user what he shall post and/or what his opinion has to be

Was so annoyed at people today at the stores forming giant lines and showing up with the whole family,was waiting in my car till i could go in straight away but that only succeeded at the 4th store .

Dying happens a lot sooner than recovery. With the case load growing exponentially (and thus deaths as well) it's normal for the death rate in closed cases to grow. Recoveries won't catch up until several weeks after the growth rate falls below 1.0. It's over 6 weeks after quarantine started on the Diamond princess and 25% of cases still don't have an outcome.

However deaths / total cases is also lagging behind while the growth is still positive. But heavily depends on actually detecting all new cases.

Then the death rate is heavily skewed as well by the age distribution of those that get infected. Italy already has the same amount of deaths as China with half the detected cases. (Or will, I expect Italy to overtake China today :/)

China being a good guy again.

First they sent help to italy, and now their sending another package to the EU (2million masks, 50,000+ testing kits, and 200,000 of those filtered masks). A kind gesture, they apparently have almost 60% of the world market on makeing these masks.

Europe is stepping up production of masks too.

This is what we dont want:

"hospital workers make (own) masks from office supplies amid US shortage" (washington state) - bloomberg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ETbEQDfFT0

or this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AgqYjrexYS8

Theres 7 states without bans on gatherings of people, closed schools, work... ect.
Even if you manage to slow the spread, via alot of the US going into lockdown...
it'll just restart soon after lockdown ends in those places, because of these 7 states that havnt done anything to prevent spread.

I can maybe understand toilet paper stocking up for like a month but I don't get why people are stocking up on bottled water. My city drinking water is good (I've been in cities with worse but nothing a filter can't overcome) and I use a water filter pitcher.

This isn't a situation that the water supply becomes undrinkable after a natural disaster. Bottle water hoarding is stupid. Maybe have one case for a real disaster.

335 cases now here in Luxembourg and most everything that isn't a pharmacy, grocery store or fuel station is closed.

https://today.rtl.lu/news/luxembourg/a/1486096.html

https://today.rtl.lu/news/luxembourg/a/1486123.html

And even then, you can only enter the supermarket one by one, resulting in long waiting lines:

https://www.rtl.lu/news/national/a/1485479.html

The Big Brother House is probably the safest place to be right now as nobody enters from the outside

This is the main problem with the herd immunity concept. And if the virus were to mutate, then the immunity would be gone anyway. No wonder the UK changed it's policy to isolation and mitigation now, too.