The Diamond princess finally declared some more recoveries.
This is how it started:
February 1, 2020
Princess Cruises confirms that a guest from Hong Kong who traveled for five days on Diamond Princess from Yokohama (Tokyo) on January 20, and disembarked in Hong Kong on January 25, tested positive for coronavirus on February 1, six days after leaving the ship.
It is currently March 19th. There are still 14 serious/critical cases and 178 active cases. 527 have recovered and 7 died. (Some guests were repatriated and recovered or died back home)
The ship went into quarantine on Februari 4th. It's now over 6 weeks later! It can take a long time to get cured from this disease.
Meanwhile the new cases per day are going up fast. Test capacity increasing is likely contributing to that. 20.5K new cases yesterday, up from 15.7K the day before. There are a total of 219K cases detected so far. The number of deaths and suspected death rate should give some indication of how many undetected cases there are. A lower bound since you don't die instantly. If the 3.4% number is accurate, there are at least 44K undetected cases walking around. If the figure is closer to 2%, 229K undetected cases. 1% -> 677K undetected.
I don't know what's more worrying, a higher death rate or so many undetected cases it might be too late for whatever we're doing. The more benign the more unstoppable.
