Don't you mean "fall of a cliff" ?

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They said, 0.3% of the sales come from Japan. And Japan Xbox sales currently are about 110K. So the total should be around 36.5 million Xbox sold, I don't know how they did their math.

Probably sitting on shelves somewhere. That number wouldn't be too far off total worldwide shipments sold to distributor

Percent difference between the two numbers is less than 10% (7.75% to be more accurate)... I consider those the same numbers. So I am not sure what we are suppose to discuss.

That's still bad as it's below half of PS4.

and its likely CNBC's number isnt more accurate than VGChartz.
Supposedly its just 1 analysts prediction.

Probably shipped numbers. Sold through could be a million or two less.

It says right in the article that the data is from the IDC, International Data Corporation, which is a market research company. So the number is a guess by IDC analysts, just like the 41m~ end of 2018 number that Daniel Ahmad gave and the 43.4m current number here on VGC. It's all guess work because MS doesn't release numbers anymore. It's safe to say that sales are somewhere in that 41-46.9m range though. If the number is on the higher end of that scale, MS has a shot of hitting 50m this Holiday, depending on how good their holiday deals are. 

It might not but worst case scenario it makes it pretty close.

Why not it has a monopoly on the portable market and grabs players from the console market as well, it may very well possibly pass the X1 this coming holiday and surpass the SNES come the end of the FY, PS5 and XS will also have very little to no impact on it because people by the Switch for different reasons to the other platforms. No drop is coming at this point people have been claiming that since the PS4 Pro and X1X.

Well, theoretically it would be possible that Microsoft shared that number with CNBC. Microsoft and NBC have strong ties, they even founded MSNBC together.

But in this case, they got the number from the analyst company IDC:  https://www.idc.com/about

"Of the 46.9 million Xbox Ones sold worldwide through the second quarter of 2019, just 0.3% of them have been in Japan, according to the International Data Corporation." (And I'm shocked that I seem to be the only one to read the linked article instead of wildly speculating, where the number is coming from)

On the other hand it is funny that you take the number mentioned by Daniel Ahmad as a fact, since he is also just an analyst, not an insider of Microsoft.