Bofferbrauer2 said:
Mnementh said:
The DNC declared the new qualifying criteria for debate 5:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrats-unveil-new-increased-threshold-to-make-fifth-debate-stage/
This is interesting. The donor threshold only increased a little bit. If it had doubled to 260K, only Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg had made it in June (based on the donor map) and Biden was pretty close. If they had tripled it from the first debate (like they did with the polling), we would've 195K. This would include also Biden, Harris and Beto was pretty close. With only 165K Beto was above that already back then. 165K is doable for everyone who got to the third debate. And probably also Steyer, as he got the donors pretty quick. This seems like they done away with the donor criteria, so only polls are qualifying going forward. With strongly increasing donor criteria we would've soon only Sanders and Warren on debate stage.
The new polling path in early voting states seems hand-crafted for Steyer, who concentrates on the early states.
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It also benefits Gabbard, who also concentrates on the early states.
Interestingly, Booker doesn't qualify under any criterion right now.
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That Booker doesn't qualify yet is interesting. He was in front of Amy Klobuchar with unique donors. Maybe his campaign hasn't yet declared that he already fulfilled the criteria.
But yeah, I am not surprised that besides him everybody who qualified for debate three has already enough unique donors, as the DNC basically didn't strengthen on this criteria. It would be interesting though if they would do that, a debate only with Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders would be to my liking.
Gabbard will fail at the polling, as 3% is too steep for her. Not only her, I see Klobuchar, Castro and Booker fail too. Maybe also O'Rourke, not sure about him. Yang might struggle, but has the ability to get to 3%.
Last edited by Mnementh - on 24 September 2019
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