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Forums - Sales Discussion - Switch sales top five million in Japan

Out of the four that are ahead of it, the Switch should have no probl ma passing the Wii and GBA.
3DS is going to be a tougher battle that I am not entirely sure of. I don’t think it’s going to catch the DS.



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123Lucas said:
Read my words: Switch is going to outsell PS4 in Japan.

That's no big whopper. We discuss already if it happens this year or next year.



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peachbuggy said:
Slownenberg said:

Yeah exactly. Switch will easily pass ps4 before ps3. Switch will probably pass ps4 at around 9 million and ps3 is up at ~10.5 million. Switch will probably pass PS4 next summer and then with the holiday boost it'll probably pass PS3 December 2019. I think PS4 will pass PS3 but it'll probably be end of 2020 at which point PS5 will be out.

I think the Switch has a shot of catching it at the end of Q4 '18.

no way. ps4 has a 2 million sale lead. Switch is not gonna sell 2 mil + whatever PS4 sells rest of the year.



Slownenberg said:
peachbuggy said:

I think the Switch has a shot of catching it at the end of Q4 '18.

no way. ps4 has a 2 million sale lead. Switch is not gonna sell 2 mil + whatever PS4 sells rest of the year.

I haven't done the maths but i expect a few holiday weeks this year at 400k+ on or around Pokemon and Smash releases. Also a larger baseline post-Smash until at least the end of Q4.



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Miyamotoo said:


Total sales of Switch hardware in Japan have surpassed five million units as of September 2 with a total of 5,007,368 units sold since its March 3, 2017 launch, according to Famitsu sales data. 

The platform’s top five selling games in Japan (also as of September 2) are as follows:

  1. Splatoon 2 (07/21/17, Nintendo) – 2,621,928 units sold
  2. Super Mario Odyssey (10/27/17, Nintendo) – 1,788,228 units sold
  3. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (04/28/17, Nintendo) – 1,738,502 units sold
  4. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 1,065,780 units sold
  5. Kirby: Star Allies (Nintendo, 03/16/18) – 591,721 units sold

https://www.famitsu.com/news/201809/05163498.html
https://gematsu.com/2018/09/switch-sales-top-five-million-in-japan#WX8lwxJUBIPYToii.99

 

Road to 5 million

3DS: 52 weeks
GBA: 54 weeks
NDS: 56 weeks
WII: 60 weeks
NSW: 79 weeks (5.007.368)
PS2:
 79 weeks (5.002.680)
PS1: 114 weeks (5.037.156)
GBC: 114 weeks (5.018.883)
PSP: 117 weeks
PS3: 180 weeks
PS4: 181 weeks
PSV: 234 weeks

 

At end of December Switch will most likely pass 7m.

19 weeks more than the Wii U?



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CaptainExplosion said:

19 weeks more than the Wii U?

No, Wii.

Wii U sold only 3.3m units lifetime, so it's an N/A for road to 5m.



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peachbuggy said:
Slownenberg said:

no way. ps4 has a 2 million sale lead. Switch is not gonna sell 2 mil + whatever PS4 sells rest of the year.

I haven't done the maths but i expect a few holiday weeks this year at 400k+ on or around Pokemon and Smash releases. Also a larger baseline post-Smash until at least the end of Q4.

I expect some big weeks too, I think Switch broke 300k once last holidays and had a few weeks over 200k, would be surprised to see a 400k week on Smash launch and maybe a couple other 300k weeks. But still I don't think any way it beats ps4 this year. I expect it'll still be like 500k away. But we'll see! Will be fun to watch Switch start eating up the gap come November and December!



RolStoppable said:
CaptainExplosion said:

19 weeks more than the Wii U?

No, Wii.

Wii U sold only 3.3m units lifetime, so it's an N/A for road to 5m.



Slownenberg said:
peachbuggy said:

I haven't done the maths but i expect a few holiday weeks this year at 400k+ on or around Pokemon and Smash releases. Also a larger baseline post-Smash until at least the end of Q4.

I expect some big weeks too, I think Switch broke 300k once last holidays and had a few weeks over 200k, would be surprised to see a 400k week on Smash launch and maybe a couple other 300k weeks. But still I don't think any way it beats ps4 this year. I expect it'll still be like 500k away. But we'll see! Will be fun to watch Switch start eating up the gap come November and December!

That's why i said Q4, which is at the end of March. I think it will catch up most of the 2m in holiday weeks and possibly the rest in Jan/Feb/Mar. Especially if something big is released in that timeframe. Even if it isn't, the baseline could be inflated massively for those months, due to Pokemon and Smash. Yep it's gonna be close and exciting!



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

manuelogando40 said:
Kerotan said:
Interesting to see the Wii and 3ds got there first

Intersting to see ps4 just winning psvita. 

If you go back a few years most on here didn't think ps4 would outsell the vita. I'm actually surprised their console beat their handheld because the ps3 sold about half the PSP.