I expect some big weeks too, I think Switch broke 300k once last holidays and had a few weeks over 200k, would be surprised to see a 400k week on Smash launch and maybe a couple other 300k weeks. But still I don't think any way it beats ps4 this year. I expect it'll still be like 500k away. But we'll see! Will be fun to watch Switch start eating up the gap come November and December!
That's why i said Q4, which is at the end of March. I think it will catch up most of the 2m in holiday weeks and possibly the rest in Jan/Feb/Mar. Especially if something big is released in that timeframe. Even if it isn't, the baseline could be inflated massively for those months, due to Pokemon and Smash. Yep it's gonna be close and exciting!
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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!