Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.
Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.
That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?
Well why has Switch remained at ~50k/week in Japan for the last month without major sellers when it was doing in the mid 30s-low 40s for most of the Spring?
Momentum is high from the really solid & diverse lineup from mid June-mid July. Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Lego Incredibles, Crash, Wolfenstein, Ys, Octopath, Shining Resonance & Captain Toad all released between June 12-July 14.
Thats a really great lineup for a 5 week stretch and includes games from many genres that appeal to various demographics. That combined with the evergreen titles that keep moving hardware can potentially keep sales stable for the coming weeks.