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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 21 July 2018

Would be great if Switch could maintain this 200k/week pace up to Super Mario Party. Currently Switch is at 3m for the fiscal year, so after the 10-11 weeks until October it could be sitting a 5m. I wasn't expecting Switch to hit that until November.



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Lonely_Dolphin said:
Would be great if Switch could maintain this 200k/week pace up to Super Mario Party. Currently Switch is at 3m for the fiscal year, so after the 10-11 weeks until October it could be sitting a 5m. I wasn't expecting Switch to hit that until November.

That will be tricky to do; what's going to keep hardware sales over 200k for the next few months?



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

Another week in the lead, good Switch



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

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Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Medisti said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

PS4 pulled down by lack of supply while the XBO got boosted by Prime Day sale on Amazon, hence why PS4 is on the third place in the US this week, behind Switch and XBO

Ah, you meant for Xbox One. I thought you meant for PS4 for both, lol. Though, was there a lack of supply of PS4? I did see Xbox One was very high on Amazon Prime day because of the sale, but PS4 wasn't sold out the time I looked at it.

The Pro at least was unavailable online for most of July, and the Slim also had some problems.

Plus, neither were available on Amazon due to their 4 months long dispute.



curl-6 said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
Would be great if Switch could maintain this 200k/week pace up to Super Mario Party. Currently Switch is at 3m for the fiscal year, so after the 10-11 weeks until October it could be sitting a 5m. I wasn't expecting Switch to hit that until November.

That will be tricky to do; what's going to keep hardware sales over 200k for the next few months?

It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

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3DS long legs are impressive. I myself still have some games I want to pick up for it. I guess I'll be playing 3DS for more 3 years.



God bless You.

My Total Sales prediction for PS4 by the end of 2021: 110m+

When PS4 will hit 100m consoles sold: Before Christmas 2019

There were three ravens sat on a tree / They were as blacke as they might be / The one of them said to his mate, Where shall we our breakfast take?


Lonely_Dolphin said:
curl-6 said:

That will be tricky to do; what's going to keep hardware sales over 200k for the next few months?

It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
Lonely_Dolphin said:
It's software library of course. Sales in Japan are staying constant, so it's possible 200k is the baseline again like it was for a while earlier in the year despite no major releases.

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

Japan is staying consistent, but will the rest of the world, with no major releases for months on end? I doubt it. Evergreens will keep it over 150k, but I can't see it staying above 200k over the next few months.

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.

That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

Its not like Japan has had any big sellers these last few weeks yet it has remained stable, i dont see why its unbelievable to think the same could happen for the west.

Switch has ranged between 155-225k for the last 28 weeks with an average of 196k/week. Staying around 200k for the next few weeks doesnt seem unlikely.

That's it though, it's baseline average has been under 200k, why would that baseline now be raised long term?

Well why has Switch remained at ~50k/week in Japan for the last month without major sellers when it was doing in the mid 30s-low 40s for most of the Spring?

Momentum is high from the really solid & diverse lineup from mid June-mid July. Fortnite, Paladins, Hollow Knight, Mario Tennis, Minecraft, Lego Incredibles, Crash, Wolfenstein, Ys, Octopath, Shining Resonance & Captain Toad all released between June 12-July 14.

Thats a really great lineup for a 5 week stretch and includes games from many genres that appeal to various demographics. That combined with the evergreen titles that keep moving hardware can potentially keep sales stable for the coming weeks.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.