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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will the Switch Dominate The Holiday Season?

 

Will the Switch Dominate The Holiday Season?

Yes 69 50.74%
 
No, Sony will 42 30.88%
 
No, Microsoft will 5 3.68%
 
Not sure 20 14.71%
 
Total:136

Are you triying to be sarcastic with that question?



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Ka-pi96 said:
Nope, Sony is going to do great with FIFA + RDR2. Even if Switch were to sell the most (which I doubt), it won't be by anywhere near a large enough margin to say that it "dominated" (except in Japan).

Pretty much this.

quickrick said:
i think pokemon go wont be a huge success, it looks real stupid and impressions have been negative. it will do the same as last year.

Dude, it's Pokemon. When was the last time a big Pokemon RPG like this wasn't a huge success? If you look at the brand of Pokemon it doesn't really matter what the first impression is.



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The pokemon is a spin off thingy.... and Im not sure smash alone can carry it above the PS4.

PS4 will have:
Spiderman
Red Dead Redemption 2
Call of Duty
Dragon Quest XI
Spyro Reignited triology
Shadow of the Tombraider
Battlefield V
Kingdom Hearts 3

Overall I think PS4 has stronger software than the Switch has, end of the year.



I put "not sure" because of 3 factors.

1. Will the PS4 have a pricecut?

2. If there is a pricecut, will Sony provide adequate stock?

3. Will there be a NSW+Mario Kart or Odyssey/BOTW/Splatoon bundle?

If there is no pricecut or stock is very minimal then Nintendo should win. I don't think either of the 3 big consoles will "dominate" though. At most I'd expect a 45/30/25 split or something.



jardesonbarbosa said:
No. PS4 will. Switch will miss the big holiday titles. But we can all fool ourselves and pretend it will.

Well, Nintendo predicted 20M sales for Switch for the FY, while Sony predicted 16M sales for PS4. This difference has to happen sometime. Even if we assume the Switch falls short and the PS4 is still stronger, the difference is just too big.



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OdinHades said:
Nintendo will dominate the US and Japan for sure. I don't think they can take europe though. But it might just be enough to come out on top worldwide. So yeah, all in all, even if Nintendo gets the most sales, I wouldn't call them dominating or anything. But whatever.

I agree with that. Europe will be a hard nut to crack fpr Nintendo.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

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Kai_Mao said:
quickrick said:

Funny thing i'm mostly always right.  mainline pokemon didn't propel 3ds into  new heights, i'm not sure why a spin off is suppose to take switch into 20 millions sales. 

Technically, Ishihara of the Pokemon Company said Let’s Go is a mainline core RPG Pokemon title. You can watch the press conference, it’s right after the trailer where he said it. It’s not the mainline title hardcore fans are looking for (that will be in 2019), but it’s considered a mainline title.

Well, about that. Sure they said it is a core-RPG of the series. But still the next gen core-RPG is coming next year. So you have following facts to consider:

  • the game has the qualifier "Let's Go" to it, instead of just being Pokemon
  • it is gen 1, not gen 8
  • a new classical core-RPG is already announced

I think Gamefreak isn't sure themself. If they were this was the way to go, Let's Go would be without qualifier the next Pokemon RPG with gen 8. It is not. It is a new series. But Gamefreak also expects it might have potential. I personally think, the Let's Go series (and I expect a series, if they start with Gen 1) has the potential to be the same to Pokemon, that Persona was for SMT. Still, in that relation Persona is the spinoff, only a very successful spinoff, that made a name of it's own.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

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Kerotan said:
Depends if Sony give the ps4 a long overdue price cut or not. $100 price cut + BO4 + rdr2 + kh3+ fifa + bfv + spiderman should ensure ps4 sells a lot this September - December. Switch could beat ps4 but unlikely to dominate.

If Sony planned a price-cut for this holiday, they would have integrated that into their forecast - which is 16M for the FY and down against the year before. So it seems unlikely for me.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

chakkra said:

I think it will depend on how much Nintendo will be willing to play the Price-war.  If they play greedy then it will happen the same as last year.

Were they were outselling everything over the holidays?

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/43093/Global/



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my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Mnementh said:
chakkra said:

I think it will depend on how much Nintendo will be willing to play the Price-war.  If they play greedy then it will happen the same as last year.

Were they were outselling everything over the holidays?

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/43093/Global/

Looks like a smaller gap than Black Friday.

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/43065/Global/