I agree!

Pokemon will do the job it has supposed to do!

Holiday will be crazy between pokemon and smash and possibilities of many bundles!

Depends how many Pokemon fans don't have switches.

I wouldnt say dominate, but its very likely that Nintendo will win this holiday.My reasons for that are:Smash is a bigger IP than people think, and given that every Nintendo IP on Switch grew, Smash will do better than it ever did(sales-wsie).Pokemon, while a spin-off, will do better than most think, because its still similar to what the core games offer, and its not that bad looking.There will also be other titles that are not as big as these two but that will be significant nevertheless, like FE and whatever is announced at E3.Plus there is always the chance that Nintendo will do a good deal come holiday.

As for the Sony side, I simply dont think that it will win the holidays because its not a new system anymore.Whoever wanted a PS4 for a specific game already got it.KH 3, RDR 2, COD and so on will obviously push system, but they wont push the system as much as if they were released on the second year of the pS4 for example.Most people buying the system now are the ones that are not as hardcore gamers as we are, and are more ones that buy games and systems because of budget.And because of the ones that are upgrading their PS4 to the Pro.Not saying that there arent any that have waited for a new God of War or Spiderman game to buy the system, but these people arent the majority anymore.Switch is a new system, and thus it has that advantage.

So in conclusion, the Switch will win the holiday because of these reasons, at least thats the way I see it.

Based on Sony's and Nintendo's FY forecasts and game line-ups and current sales, it seems like Nintendo plans on having hardware sales heavily focused on the second half of the year, of which will be very weighted to October through December. While Sony looks to be favoring a much more spread out throughout the year sales trend of moving hardware.

I think Nintendo Switch will outsell PS4 by a large margin, but that really isn't that noteable given how they are in different phases of each their respective lifecycles.

What will be more interesting is launch alogned sales of the Nintendo Switch compared to the Wii or the DS as the years roll on. A healthy tail on Nintendo Switch's lifetime sales could surprise a lot of people and be Nintendo's best selling system of all time. There are a ton of factors that could stiffle that possible future, but Switch still has the current momentum in this stage of its life to claim that opportunity with the right hardware revisions, price cuts, and games over a much longer than usual lifecycle.

The 360 won holiday 2011, it's 7th holiday. It's biggest year too.

At first I thought it was because of Kinect but that was in 2010, what did the 360 have in 2011 to pull ahead of the PS3?

Edit: I checked and 360 actually won 2012 too. Guess I forgot how close the race between the PS3 and 360 was.

There was no new system back then, and all systems on the market were old, so everyone were on even grounds.

No, PS4 will dominated. RDR2 is too huge.

Its not unheard of for a console to be down YoY even with a price cut. A price cuts affects start to diminish as you get later into a consoles life and after the console already has had a few.

It's also not unheard of for Sony to be extremely conservative in their shipment forecast. That said, I did completely forget that due to whatever reason RAM has really increased in price (maybe the RAM producers saw that sweet crypto money from GPUs and wanted in?) so that could be a reason that we might not see a holiday price-cut.