So at end of April 2017 we had 58M sold PS4 right?

That would and with the current baseline it should probably be at wee bit over 59M. Possibly another half a million but likely not more than that.

So 42 million short of the Wii. In comes the Switch, in comes the Scorpio and they take market share from the PS4. I think that's a given, like it or not. PS4 has pretty much had a bump free ride so far... it wont be as smooth from now on.

I think it will happen in 2020. Not earlier than that. Possibly leg it out over 2021 but I do think it will pass it at some point. But people saying 2018.. I doubt it.

Which console currently on the market is stronger than the PS4 3xcept for the PS4 pro. That statement is right until the Scorpio launches.

They will be at 78 million by March 2018 ... they will probably ship another 15-16 million for FY March 19 ... that gets you to 93 mill.

Why do people think Scorpio is going to change anything. The very best scenario is that the Xone sells 9 million units instead of 8 million units a year. Meanwhile Sony will easily sell over 16 million units this year and over 15 million units next year. The Scorpio stands no chance against PS4 due to a lack of games just as the PS2 dominated the original Xbox which had halo combat evolved. As for the Switch the PS4 was 110.000 units up yoy in April how is it under any pressure. For a site which is about game sales many people seem to be to biased against Sony to see this console is easily going to outsell the Wii. There isn't going to be a PS5 next year (hell there are even way too many games left for that to happen). The Scorpio isn't going to make a huge difference and the Switch isn't going to reduce PS4 sales to below the 10 million level a year.

lol

After holidays 2019.

I'd say it will pass the Wii by 2020.

Depends. From the looks of it, Sony is able to make the PS4 dirt cheap. You can get one right now for 180 € around here. If the price continues to fall, sales will rise. I think it isn't impossible for us to see PS4 retailing for 149 € sometime next year, even when the official price recommendation won't go that low. Still, with such a low entry price, I can see the PS4 actually rising in sales yoy. Something similar happened with the PS2, if I remember correctly. That console sold I think only 10 million in 2004 just to sell 20 million in 2005, because of ridiculous low prices. I grabbed one by that time for 89 €.

Long story short, it all depends on price and it's looking good. The PS3 stayed expensive forever, it never got really cheap. Hell it didn't even ever get as cheap as the PS4 is right now, not even with that silly 12 GB model. Scorpio will only help to make the price tag of the PS4 lower. I can see the PS4 outselling the Wii by the end of 2019. Maybe even earlier, but not later.

I understood that reference!

It's always funny when you see people calling out others for underestimating the Switch (I was one of them and have no problem admitting so) but completely ignore those who keep underestimating the ps4, like here saying it won't get anywhere near 100m. By the time it does, (sometime in 2020) they will act like no one said that and that it was a given since the ps4 has always done well.

Might even bookmark this thread for the lolz.