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Forums - Gaming - How much do you think PS4 will sell in Japan?

 

How much do you think it will sell

5 million 37 14.74%
 
6 million 29 11.55%
 
7 million 28 11.16%
 
8 million 33 13.15%
 
9 million 13 5.18%
 
10 million 44 17.53%
 
15 million 16 6.37%
 
20 million 12 4.78%
 
Definitely more than PS3 39 15.54%
 
Total:251
kinisking on 04 February 2015

6-7 mil. No way it's reaching 15 mil op. Lucky to reach 10 mil.



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

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thedawghousev2 on 04 February 2015
kinisking said:
6-7 mil. No way it's reaching 15 mil op. Lucky to reach 10 mil.


 1 million in less than a year with no big release but you think it'll only do 6 or 7 million?



thedawghousev2 on 04 February 2015
RolStoppable said:
thedawghousev2 said:

me bumping this thread was based on ps4's most recent numbers. it sold 17,392. it's baseline has been above 12,000 for the past two months. i think japan is opening up to consoles a little more now, at least with ps4 if anything. in the same time frame, two weeks before a full year of release in japan, ps3 sold 17,740 in japan (week of october 27, 2007), while the ps4 sold 17,392 in japan in an average week in february with no releases while under the assumption that home consoles are dead in japan. yeah, obviously ps3 had system selling software over it's life, but ps4 has a lot of system selling software (presumably) this year and next year.

Yes, there's some momentum for the PS4 carrying over from the holidays into a batch of new releases, including Dragon Quest Heroes. But saying that its baseline has been above 12k for the past two months isn't anything special because the holidays fell into that timeframe.  Likewise, if the PS3 didn't see a new release in the week ending October 27th 2007, then the PS4 matching that right now isn't anything special either (October is a month like most others in Japan).

If the PS4 overtakes the PS3 in launch-aligned sales at some point and shows the momentum to stay ahead, then you'll have a talking point. But right now you don't, because the surrounding circumstances are very similar for both consoles. The big exceptions are that gaming on dedicated devices is less popular nowadays (disadvantage for the PS4) and that the PS3 was more expensive (also a disadvantage for the PS4 because future sales boosts due to price cuts are most likely not as big as for the PS3).


yeah the thing is though i think the ps4 will get much, much cheaper than the ps3 ever was while the ps3 was the main console and when ps4 never existed (before november 15, 2013, ps4's release date)



thedawghousev2 on 04 February 2015
RolStoppable said:
thedawghousev2 said:

1 million in less than a year with no big release but you think it'll only do 6 or 7 million?

No big release? It launched with Knack. Still the best-selling PS4 game in Japan.


lol, but if i was going to add on to my statement, there also hasn't been a single price cut along with the fact that it's been less than a year and no big games.



Fusioncode on 04 February 2015

Probably like 7m lifetime.



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

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kinisking on 04 February 2015
thedawghousev2 said:
kinisking said:
6-7 mil. No way it's reaching 15 mil op. Lucky to reach 10 mil.


 1 million in less than a year with no big release but you think it'll only do 6 or 7 million?

Like I said. Possibility of 10 mil. And it's sales won't increase that much honestly. It's selling based on hype for the big games. In essence theyre already doing their jobs (not to the fullest ofc) . Exclusives won't matter to sales of ps4 this Gen as much as Xbox one and wii u. 



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

darkknightkryta on 04 February 2015

It really depends. For comparison, when the Wii launched strong in Japan, it had the potential to get to 20 million there at least. Then the devs did the unthinkable, they put major franchises exclusively on the 360. Killed any momentum the Wii had in the day. Between that stupidity and devs putting major titles on the DS, put console gaming in a poor position. Japanese devs have already started to pour resources into the PS4 early, so that's one problem solved. Not much they can do with the other problem. Best thing is to hope that Dragon Quest 11 does indeed go to the PS4 and move hardware and Final Fantasy XIV rebuilds customer faith in the product. Between those and more titles in the pipeline, I can see the PS4 reaching 10 million plus. That's really it though :/



Aerys on 04 February 2015

10M , thats Being pessimistic

PS4 has a lot of big system seller PS3 hadnt ( a good FF, DQ, KH , ...)



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

fatslob-:O on 04 February 2015

I can see it reaching 10 million eventually since there's practically no contenders ...

It's almost as if the PS4 had a monopoly on the highest selling 3rd party games in that region since tons of publishers will make sure that the japanese version of the game won't see the light of the day on the Xbox One ...



LordPhil on 05 February 2015

It should do around 10m LT. It's only a matter of time till we start seeing the big games drop such as FFXV, Bloodborne, P5 and maybe an exclusive DQ. It has better third party support than the competition and devs have been moving on to the PS4 faster than they ever did with the PS3.