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Forums - Gaming - How much do you think PS4 will sell in Japan?

 

How much do you think it will sell

5 million 37 14.74%
 
6 million 29 11.55%
 
7 million 28 11.16%
 
8 million 33 13.15%
 
9 million 13 5.18%
 
10 million 44 17.53%
 
15 million 16 6.37%
 
20 million 12 4.78%
 
Definitely more than PS3 39 15.54%
 
Total:251
Kerotan on 06 February 2015
thedawghousev2 said:
Kerotan said:
If it can average 20k a week for 7 more years it will sell about 8 million. That's my guess. It's significant because it's going to contribute about 8 million to ps4s lead over the xbox one. Japan is still a big player.


yeah i know if you saw my post above i said 10 million is actually pretty damn good, 8 million would be decent as well. however i think it will surpass 10 million by a good amount. (i said 15 million in OP)

I'm actually shocked the ps3 made it over 10 million. 



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fatslob-:O on 06 February 2015
Kerotan said:
If it can average 20k a week for 7 more years it will sell about 8 million. That's my guess. It's significant because it's going to contribute about 8 million to ps4s lead over the xbox one. Japan is still a big player.

"Big player" is an overstatement since it'll be very hard to muster up just above 12 million home console units this generation ... 

The other countries by comparison on last generation was able to account for roughly 30 million home consoles ...

If we assume a similar growth rate compared to last generation there should be around 35 milion console owners. The PS4 could possibly even match the greatness that was PS2 when it came to other territories! 

Japan becoming a small fry when it comes to the console gaming market is now a reality ... 



Mummelmann on 07 February 2015
thedawghousev2 said:

if the ps4 does reach 10 million, does that still mean that home consoles are dead in Japan? 10 million is not too shabby.


Given the circumstances; 10 million would be nothing short of fantastic, a small wonder even. Dead, not quite yet, but certainly dying in its current form. We have also have to consider the total tally; the Wii, 360 and PS3 have about 24.6 million sold in Japan and the Wii U, PS4 and One will likely sell around 16-17 million or so, and this paired with the likely ~28 million sales from 3DS and Vita compared to the DS/PSP selling about 53 million shows that there is real cause for worry.

Such a drop in sales over the span of one generation is simply shocking in one of the major markets of the world and people are staring themselves blind at global numbers and not actually seeing how bad it is over there. 30-35% down in home consoles and 45-50% down in handhelds is a proper disaster. I guess my point is this; even if the PS4 did somehow manage 10 million lifetime (which I still think it won't), that would not indicate a healthy Japanese console market, not even close.



thedawghousev2 on 07 February 2015
Mummelmann said:
thedawghousev2 said:
 

if the ps4 does reach 10 million, does that still mean that home consoles are dead in Japan? 10 million is not too shabby.


Given the circumstances; 10 million would be nothing short of fantastic, a small wonder even. Dead, not quite yet, but certainly dying in its current form. We have also have to consider the total tally; the Wii, 360 and PS3 have about 24.6 million sold in Japan and the Wii U, PS4 and One will likely sell around 16-17 million or so, and this paired with the likely ~28 million sales from 3DS and Vita compared to the DS/PSP selling about 53 million shows that there is real cause for worry.

Such a drop in sales over the span of one generation is simply shocking in one of the major markets of the world and people are staring themselves blind at global numbers and not actually seeing how bad it is over there. 30-35% down in home consoles and 45-50% down in handhelds is a proper disaster. I guess my point is this; even if the PS4 did somehow manage 10 million lifetime (which I still think it won't), that would not indicate a healthy Japanese console market, not even close.


oh yeah there's no doubt that as a whole the japanese market for home consoles is dead, but maybe playstation is that one exception