How much do you think PS4 will sell in Japan?

[thedawghousev2]

RolStoppable said:

thedawghousev2 said:

me bumping this thread was based on ps4's most recent numbers. it sold 17,392. it's baseline has been above 12,000 for the past two months. i think japan is opening up to consoles a little more now, at least with ps4 if anything. in the same time frame, two weeks before a full year of release in japan, ps3 sold 17,740 in japan (week of october 27, 2007), while the ps4 sold 17,392 in japan in an average week in february with no releases while under the assumption that home consoles are dead in japan. yeah, obviously ps3 had system selling software over it's life, but ps4 has a lot of system selling software (presumably) this year and next year.

Yes, there's some momentum for the PS4 carrying over from the holidays into a batch of new releases, including Dragon Quest Heroes. But saying that its baseline has been above 12k for the past two months isn't anything special because the holidays fell into that timeframe.  Likewise, if the PS3 didn't see a new release in the week ending October 27th 2007, then the PS4 matching that right now isn't anything special either (October is a month like most others in Japan).

If the PS4 overtakes the PS3 in launch-aligned sales at some point and shows the momentum to stay ahead, then you'll have a talking point. But right now you don't, because the surrounding circumstances are very similar for both consoles. The big exceptions are that gaming on dedicated devices is less popular nowadays (disadvantage for the PS4) and that the PS3 was more expensive (also a disadvantage for the PS4 because future sales boosts due to price cuts are most likely not as big as for the PS3).

yeah the thing is though i think the ps4 will get much, much cheaper than the ps3 ever was while the ps3 was the main console and when ps4 never existed (before november 15, 2013, ps4's release date)