brendude13 said:
I'll steal this prediction. |
It's OK! I am actually flattered that someone wants to steal my prediction! 
---Member of the official Squeezol Fanclub---
| bevochan said:
|
So Uncharted 4 will sell 21 million more copies Then Uncharted 2 or 3 did.. Actually.. Uncharted 4 will sell more then ALL the Unchartred games combined? And it will do it when there will be only 20-30 million consoles on the market at MOST.. when Uncharted 2 and 3 had 50-80 million console owners to sell to.. wow..
XBLive: cpg716 PSN ID: cpg716 Steam: Luv4Tech77
Predictions on 12/01/15 - Generation 8 Totals:
PS4: 85-95m
X1: 55-65m
WiiU: 20-30m
Fusioncode said:
Remember not to necrobump this thread. Else you'll have to ban yourself. |
Exactly. It will be irrelevant and old after the games release.
Yes this should make for an interesting comparison next year. The three most representative, core exclusive franchises for each of the consoles.
| Name | Metacritic | First Week | Lifetime |
| Halo 5 | 89 | 3.400.000 | 9.600.000 |
| Uncharted 4 | 95 | 1.500.000 | 6.700.000 |
| Zelda U | 96 | 1.200.000 | 5.400.000 |
I expect Halo to have a fairly easy win in both first week sales as well as lifetime sales. XBox One's userbase will be a lot smaller than 360's though, so I don't see it getting near Halo 3's sales. I think Zelda will barely win the metascore, but have the lowest sales. In any event, I expect it to be close race between it and Uncharted 4, which will have a slight increase in sales over the last instalment. There's no way Zelda will get anywhere near as 'low' as 90, because getting high metascores is what the series does, and Uncharted will fall just barely short of Among Thieves.
| S.T.A.G.E. said: I am expecting neither game to sell anywhere near the numbers you're calling LTD. 8-9 million copies is asking for too much from people even in 2015. Halo 3 launched on the 360 three years after the 360 launched, allowing itself to amass a proper installed base before Halo came. I am calling six million for Halo before bundling and 5 million for Uncharted before bundling. I believe the Xbox One will still outsell the Wii U even though Nintendo obviously won E3, because he who has the third parties tends to win it all. I am calling 3-4 million for Zelda if it launches in 2015. |
Halo 3 released in 2007, two years after the 360 launched.
| cpg716 said: I am curious on how you think Uncharted 4 will sell 3 million more on the PS4... With an install base of only 15-20 million compared to 80+ million. Uncharted 2 and 3 both sound just barely 6 million copies.. and there was no growth between 2 and 3.. in fact it sold a little less copies.. I agree with your HALO 5 figure.. Halo 3 sold 11+ and Halo 4 sold about 9 mil. While the X1 console base will only be around 15m on release and maybe hit 20 m during Halo 5 lifespan could see a 8m in sales (as it would be a decline from previous outings)... |
Install base does not mean as much as you might think.
The best selling Halo game for the 360 (Halo 3) came out when the X360's install base was the smallest compaired to when all the other halo games released.
I think it will be interesting to watch Halo 5 and UC4 duke it out. PS4 will have a bigger instal base at that point and time, but Halo is still a bigger IP than Uncharted.
As far as the next Zelda, I think it will do fine and sell at least 5M copies (probabally more). People have been dying for a new Zelda game in HD, so this should sell fairly well.
These are my sales guesses assuming they don't get bundled. Since all three are basically guaranteed to get bundled they will probably get another 1-2mil on top of that.
| Name | Metacritic | First Week | Lifetime |
| Halo 5 | 85 | 3,600,000 | 7,500,000 |
| Uncharted 4 | 90 | 1,200,000 | 4,500,000 |
| Zelda U | 90 | 1,000,000 | 3,500,000 |
SocialistSlayer said:
halo will be good, but have weaker sales than normal due to xbox one not being as popular. 7.5-8.8 million. meta: 88-92 Uncharted will be huge. perhaps not reaching the score of U2 but close, and will be the best selling. i predict 6.5-8 million. meta: 92-96 Zelda will be massively over rated, it will fail to innovate and modernize anything, it will have the same tired and dated mechanics and tropes as its predessors from the 90's. but reviewers wil give it a pass because its a nintendo game. which are a protected class of games that dont get criticized for being dated on just about everything about their games. it will sell between 3.5-5.5 million . meta: 90-95 |
I doubt about your Zelda prediction. The linear nature of both Twilight Princess and Skyward Sword was criticised and now Zelda U will be open-world, mainly based on the first game of the series. That's not new, we need to see details about the game first, but the negative aspect of this fatiguing series now is gone, it will do good in Metacritic for instance. I expect something around 94-97.
My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first.
| thx1139 said: Seriously? Halo 4 9+ million Uncharted 3 6+ million Zelda TP 6+ million on a console that sold over 100 million With that in mind Halo 5 9+ million Uncharted 4 6+ million Zelda Wii U 2-3 million |
PS4 has a bigger user base than XB1, so no.
I need to get a third job.
In this day and age, with the Internet, ignorance is a choice! And they're still choosing Ignorance! - Dr. Filthy Frank
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