Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Current vs Last, a Console Sales Story (COMPLETE!)

Final Smash: Should somone one do this at the start of every gen?

yes 65 75.58%
 
no 3 3.49%
 
show me the money! 7 8.14%
 
Total:75

Really looking at that trend... without some crazy change in marketing, content, price, etc... WiiU should has a hard time even reaching 3m sold and with that I doubt there will be 1m on shelves. More likely only ~500k. Meaning shipped is going to have a hard time reaching 4m. For them to make this estimation, they have to have something else in the plans.

Based on Iwata's most recent statements, there is no price cut coming as its already losing money per unit.
We also know that no big games are launching before March and only one month of a couple new games can't be their plan to surge sales.

There has to be something planned for February if they expect to increase sales to a level where 4m is plausible.



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superchunk said:
Really looking at that trend... without some crazy change in marketing, content, price, etc... WiiU should has a hard time even reaching 3m sold and with that I doubt there will be 1m on shelves. More likely only ~500k. Meaning shipped is going to have a hard time reaching 4m. For them to make this estimation, they have to have something else in the plans.

Based on Iwata's most recent statements, there is no price cut coming as its already losing money per unit.
We also know that no big games are launching before March and only one month of a couple new games can't be their plan to surge sales.

There has to be something planned for February if they expect to increase sales to a level where 4m is plausible.


Even if they manage only 60% of their initial forecast (assuming an estimated 3 million sellthrough as opposed to an estimated 5 million), a lot of people will continue saying that there is nothing to worry about.



OP updated with Jan26th data. Looks like Wii U is bottoming out in the 30k to 35k range for now. Needs some serious advertising and of course more content. I still have a few games I need to buy, but obviously for many others what is there is not enough.



It looks like Wii U is selling way less than PS3/360 did back then. I have no feelings towards this fact, as it has been made clear to me that some opinions are not tolerated.



I hope you keep updating this thread, it will be even worse than your predictions.



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New week's data is up. Looks like my hunch last week was right and WiiU has bottomed out.

With this in mind and seeing Rayman's delay, Wii U will potentially max out around 2.9m SOLD by the end of March. Meaning about 3.5m shipped.... just tossing that out there.



Wii U needs some games NOW! It's god damn painful to watch!!



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

superchunk said:

I wanted to track the overall sales of the consoles. Please see my data below from rounded VGC.

Nintendo's Fiscal goal for WiiU was to have SHIPPED 5,500,000 by the end of March 2013. That should equal out to a 4,500,000 to 5,500,000 of real sales to consumer. (this is what VGC records)

UPDATE BASED ON JANUARY INVESTORS MEETING:
It turns out my most recent prediction was right and Nintendo dropped their Wii U estimates to 4m SHIPPED by the end of March 2013. That should equal about 3m to 3.5m of actaully sold units. We'll keep watching to see how close they actually come. With no games launching until March, its gonna be interesting to see what they do to increase sales.

Weekly Data (x1,000)

Monthly Summary

Launch Info and Special Notes

Launch Wii Wii U X360 PS3
NA w1 w1 w1 w-1
EU w3 w2 w3 w18
Japan w3 w3 w4 w-2

*NOTE: All consoles except PS3 launched in last two weeks of November. I did the weeks like this to allow PS3 to have "worldwide" release while still limiting data to the end of March. Overall, the benefit to PS3 is marginal, if any.

WAIT! PS3 actually passed 360 in march 2007!?



It's a good thing that the Wii U had such a strong start. Sales are not that great, but considering that there are no games coming out it's understandable.



ryuzaki57 said:

WAIT! PS3 actually passed 360 in march 2007!?

Launches aligned....