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Forums - Sales Discussion - GTA4 prediction thread.

3 million for 360 - 1 million for the PS3. And it will move systems as well ...



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Realistically; NA 360 and PS3 combined, about 5 million this year and 12 million LT.
Europe/others; 360 and PS3 combined, about 4 million this year and 10 million LT.
Maybe a tad optimistic, but I like GTA so I hope it does well (and I'm man enough to admit it instead of claiming celestial prediction powers... ).



a better game is predict the month gta4 comes out

i call june



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

i believe sales for GTAIV will be good, yet disappointing when compared to expectations. I also think that the ps3 will gain ground on the 360 this year, so the 360 will only outsell the ps3 version by about 1.5x, kind of a prediction of the hardware ratios at the time of release. I'd expect ~4 million sold in the first month so i guess that means 2.3 on 360 to 1.7 on ps3. there we go, that's my prediction.

cliff notes: 1st month ~4 million total - 2.4 for 360, 1.6 for ps3.



i think thats too much life time and first month sales.
my prediction is total WW:
360:8 million
ps3:6.5 million

and first month WW:
360:2.4 million
PS3:1.7 million



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

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Wow, I think I agree with Mummelmann. That must be a first, congratulations.



i dont know---around 3 mil in the first month for the 360--then 1.5 mil for the ps3

after that expect the legs to really drop off and the game to hit around...5-6 mil combined for life time sales



 

Good points, people, good points. I'm revising my prediction to 7-8 million lifetime (both platforms) with 1.2 million first month for 360 and 500,000 for PS3.



Could I trouble you for some maple syrup to go with the plate of roffles you just served up?

Tag, courtesy of fkusumot: "Why do most of the PS3 fanboys have avatars that looks totally pissed?"
"Ok, girl's trapped in the elevator, and the power's off.  I swear, if a zombie comes around the next corner..."

Just in case, if people FORGOT:
1st month CoD4 x360 sales:
usa - 1,46 mln. europe - 0,57 mln. Total 2,03 mln. with 13,5 mln. x360. vs 18 mln. on GTA4 release.
1st month CoD4 ps3 sales:
usa - 0,48 mln. europe - 0,41 mln. Total 0,89 mln. with 5 mln. ps3. vs 10 mln. on GTA4 release.

1st month AC x360 sales:
usa - 1,13 mln. europe - 0,57 mln. Total 1,7 mln. with 13,5 mln. x360. vs 18 mln. on GTA4 release.
1st month AC ps3 sales:
usa - 0,45 mln. europe - 0,55 mln. Total 1,0 mln. with 5 mln. ps3. vs 10 mln. on GTA4 release.

GTA4 has brand, has BIG fan base, has proved itself.
The game is hyped almost as Halo3.


So, the GTA4 ps3 version easy will do 2 mln. total in 1st month, thnx only to incresed 2x times userbase of ps3 + 1,5-2 mln. thnx to brand, hype, fan base.

GTA4 version x360 easy will do 3 mln. Then + 1-2 mln. thnx to brand, hype, fan base. Maybe i overstimated usa sales by 1-1,5 mln., but time will show. =)



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Mummelmann said:
Realistically; NA 360 and PS3 combined, about 5 million this year and 12 million LT.
Europe/others; 360 and PS3 combined, about 4 million this year and 10 million LT.
Maybe a tad optimistic, but I like GTA so I hope it does well (and I'm man enough to admit it instead of claiming celestial prediction powers... ).

you expet it to sell 22 million in NA+europe?thats more then ps2+xbox sales of SA even though those 2 equaled a much higher userbase so i think your prediction is unlikely to happen



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"