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You concerned yet?

Yes 31 36.47%
 
No, but I will be followi... 32 37.65%
 
No, its being overblown 22 25.88%
 
Total:85

I'm not sure if this was mentioned previously, but the increase in the number of infections, resembles the Fibonacci sequence. So I created my own, compared with the actual data and made some predictions. It's based on only first two numbers (hence why they're the same).

Let me know if you want me to update those numbers in few days time. 

Last edited by Kristof81 - on 28 January 2020

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CrazyGamer2017 said:
Angelus said:
Man, you must be a big hit at parties

Aha you most definitely have a point there

But in my defense I don't do parties because I don't do humans or anything that is social in nature. Why would I coop myself up in a closed space full of smoking people speaking too loud because of a background music that is itself too loud and drinking alcohol while casually talking about anything and pretending to care what the other people there think or say?

If you're so anti-social, what exactly are you doing here? Why are you bothering to interact with us? Share your opinions with us? We're just more lousy humans too. If anything, the faceless anonymity of the internet only brings out the less desirable qualities in most people, so the average interaction is hardly improved. 



Angelus said:
CrazyGamer2017 said:

Aha you most definitely have a point there

But in my defense I don't do parties because I don't do humans or anything that is social in nature. Why would I coop myself up in a closed space full of smoking people speaking too loud because of a background music that is itself too loud and drinking alcohol while casually talking about anything and pretending to care what the other people there think or say?

If you're so anti-social, what exactly are you doing here? Why are you bothering to interact with us? Share your opinions with us? We're just more lousy humans too. If anything, the faceless anonymity of the internet only brings out the less desirable qualities in most people, so the average interaction is hardly improved. 

You had a good point in your previous post but you don't on this one.

Though in your defense you are not trying to make a point, you are asking a question. So I'll answer it.

I consider social behavior the interaction I may have with people in real life. Here on the internet I feel insulated from human contact and being myself a thinker of the free kind, I don't loathe exchanging ideas and hearing what other humans have to say about most topics. In fact the internet is perfect to do just that without actual contact or social commitment of any kind.

Not seeing humans in real life is what makes me anti-social, but not exchanging thoughts would only isolate me intellectually which is not what I want. Same with video games, TV shows and movies. I do enjoy watching and playing those but I don't need to avoid TV shows with human protagonists to be anti-social.

As for the faceless anonymity of the internet, I do agree that it often brings forth the lower traits of human nature but that is precisely what I am going for as it allows me to better see what's wrong with humans and thus be even more justified in my dislike of them.

Perhaps one could say that while I am physically very anti-social, I happen to be intellectually very social. Interesting paradox I must say!





Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

CrazyGamer2017 said:
Angelus said:

If you're so anti-social, what exactly are you doing here? Why are you bothering to interact with us? Share your opinions with us? We're just more lousy humans too. If anything, the faceless anonymity of the internet only brings out the less desirable qualities in most people, so the average interaction is hardly improved. 

You had a good point in your previous post but you don't on this one.

Though in your defense you are not trying to make a point, you are asking a question. So I'll answer it.

I consider social behavior the interaction I may have with people in real life. Here on the internet I feel insulated from human contact and being myself a thinker of the free kind, I don't loathe exchanging ideas and hearing what other humans have to say about most topics. In fact the internet is perfect to do just that without actual contact or social commitment of any kind.

Not seeing humans in real life is what makes me anti-social, but not exchanging thoughts would only isolate me intellectually which is not what I want. Same with video games, TV shows and movies. I do enjoy watching and playing those but I don't need to avoid TV shows with human protagonists to be anti-social.

As for the faceless anonymity of the internet, I do agree that it often brings forth the lower traits of human nature but that is precisely what I am going for as it allows me to better see what's wrong with humans and thus be even more justified in my dislike of them.

Perhaps one could say that while I am physically very anti-social, I happen to be intellectually very social. Interesting paradox I must say!

If you like the internet because it helps you see the worst of people, you're really just looking for entities to give positive affirmation to your negative world view. Where is the benefit in that? Feeling better about yourself? Do you loath yourself as much as everyone else, I wonder? 

And what about those movies, and shows you watch? The games you play. You enjoy them, why? Seeing more examples of what you consider the poor traits of humanity? To criticize the writing? The acting? Direction? Or are the playgrounds of our imagination a better one than reality? Are the protagonists of fantasy inherently better than those next door?

If there was a real plague that wiped the earth of everyone but yourself, would you miss any of these people who crafted your entertainment? If so, isn't humanity a little bit better than you're giving it credit for? If not for the social paradigms you detest, but the creativity, and ingenuity they're capable of? 



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Kristof81 said:

I'm not sure if this was mentioned previously, but the increase in the number of infections, resembles the Fibonacci sequence. So I created my own, compared with the actual data and made some predictions. It's based on only first two numbers (hence why they're the same).

Let me know if you want me to update those numbers in few days time. 

Well, Fibonacci is an exponential sequence and something like an epidemic you expect to show exponential growth in the beginning. Nevertheless, this is useful. You calibrated it with early numbers and now have a good broad prediction. If the real cases start to diverge strongly lower or above, this indicates then a new phase in the infection. It goes lower, the infection probably met boundaries to it's growth, either naturally (geography, natural resistance) or artificial (measurements for epidemic containment like quarantine, medication). If it goes higher, it indicates a new phase, maybe a mutation or overcoming something like natural resistance or infecting more different populations. Therefore this comparison might be helpful to catch such changes or to gauge the effect of measures taken to stop the infection.



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12 days ago, the confirmed cases inside China were the same as the cases outside China are today and nobody outside China appears to be taking the steps China did to stop it's spread.



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Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

Pyro as Bill said:
12 days ago, the confirmed cases inside China were the same as the cases outside China are today and nobody outside China appears to be taking the steps China did to stop it's spread.

the genie is out of the bottle. They can't really do anything now. Other than quarantine infected people



 

 

kirby007 said:
it weeds out the elderly and sick, from a economic standpoint its great for reducing healthcare costs on the longer term

You're a sick person. Do you have no elderly you are worried for right now? Get some perspective. 



 

Cases 7711 dead 170 how is that in the Fibonacci sequence?