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Forums - Politics Discussion - Is Bidens campaign dead? (EDIT: Well, this was turned around completely.)

 

Is Biden's campaign no longer viable?

Yes, his campaign is dead! 31 46.27%
 
His campaign is badly hur... 15 22.39%
 
He will take a small hit,... 5 7.46%
 
No, this result will not hurt his campaign. 7 10.45%
 
Donald Trump will win the democratic primary! 9 13.43%
 
Total:67
Eagle367 said:
sundin13 said:
Been watching the debate alongside the live updates from 538, and Nate Silver made a comment that I've been feeling for a while but haven't really been able to put into words:

"One of the things that people constantly get wrong about Biden, as his pivot toward embracing Warren’s bankruptcy bill shows, is that he’s not really a centrist — instead he’s more of a “generic Democrat” who basically holds the positions that the median Democratic legislator has."

A lot of people seem to worry about Biden's stances from years ago as if they will be predictive of the future. I don't think that is fair, because Biden has shown a propensity to adapt when the winds of change blow in the party. This is why we are seeing his platform shifting so far to the left. The party has moved in that direction. Further, that is why it is so important to not fall into a nihilistic stupor regarding politics if Biden becomes the nominee. If we demonstrate that the party has shifted, I believe Joe Biden will follow suit.

Vote for Joe! #JOEMENTUM

Biden has lied like Obama lied when he was running. Can't trust these people. Obama ran as a progressive and didn't lead the country that way. Biden will be far more right if he becomes president.

Thats how government works, bro. This isn't a dictatorship. Especially when you don't have Congress, you need to negotiate to get people on board. Depending on where your policies lie, often that means pivoting towards the center. The exact same thing would happen under a Bernie presidency, assuming he actually got anything passed.

As for the rest, it is up to the voters and our representatives to hold him accountable. Again, if the progressive wing of the party is as active and as powerful as they are at their best, Biden and the party will be forced to the left. If the progressive wing of the party doesn't fucking show, then they aren't going to be around to have a voice at the table.



Watching Biden speak, i find it so difficult to understand why people would vote for him.



SpokenTruth said:
sundin13 said:
Been watching the debate alongside the live updates from 538, and Nate Silver made a comment that I've been feeling for a while but haven't really been able to put into words:

"One of the things that people constantly get wrong about Biden, as his pivot toward embracing Warren’s bankruptcy bill shows, is that he’s not really a centrist — instead he’s more of a “generic Democrat” who basically holds the positions that the median Democratic legislator has."

A lot of people seem to worry about Biden's stances from years ago as if they will be predictive of the future. I don't think that is fair, because Biden has shown a propensity to adapt when the winds of change blow in the party. This is why we are seeing his platform shifting so far to the left. The party has moved in that direction. Further, that is why it is so important to not fall into a nihilistic stupor regarding politics if Biden becomes the nominee. If we demonstrate that the party has shifted, I believe Joe Biden will follow suit.

Vote for Joe! #JOEMENTUM

A lot of people call a going-with-the-wind mentality as either being a tailcoat rider or being politically opportunistic. They don't have a moral stance, a set value....just whatever gets them elected/re-elected.

A tailcoat rider never sticks their neck out for real change and lets other people get their hands dirty and then rides in like he's all for it after all.  Sometimes, like Biden, even being against the progressive policy early on (gay marriage, Iraq War, bad trade deals, etc...)

Being politically opportunistic just means you follow whatever trend works.

Adaptability in politics just means you never really cared until you had to "care".

I agree that there are negatives to such a position, but there are also positives, especially when you don't like what an individual has previously stood for. Like I was saying, if you are a Bernie or Bust voter, you can do a lot more good by staying engaged and working to elect Biden and push him to the left, than disengaging and letting Trump have another four years.



SpokenTruth said:
sundin13 said:

I agree that there are negatives to such a position, but there are also positives, especially when you don't like what an individual has previously stood for. Like I was saying, if you are a Bernie or Bust voter, you can do a lot more good by staying engaged and working to elect Biden and push him to the left, than disengaging and letting Trump have another four years.

Conversely, Biden supporters who know that Bernie or Bust people exist are they themselves electing Trump.  Wouldn't it then stand to reason that Biden supporters should then rally behind Sanders for the same reason? 

This is why the "rally behind candidate" logic fails. Because you can equally state one group or the other is inadvertently electing the other party by not getting behind who they support.

The one difference here is that Sanders already has those left proposals...Biden doesn't. 

So what is the easier scenario?

Sanders being Sanders and Biden supporters rally behind him?
or Biden accepting Sanders platform and Sanders supporters rally behind him?

Biden just threw M4A under the bus last night.  Along with many other Sanders policies.  That tells me Biden has no intention of moving any further left that he's already done as outline by last night's debate.  That's as far left as he'd going to go.

Further, if we Sanders supporters started to show support to Biden, what motivation then would have have to move further left....he'd have the support.  The only way to get him to move left IS by saying we won't support his current policies.  So he absolutely must move to the left on his own to get the progressive support. If we move first by supporting him, he has no need to move left...he gets the vote anyway.

At this point it doesn't matter what anyone thinks about the Primary. It's as good as in the past. We could complain about those damned Biden fans all day, but it won't change anything. Biden is the candidate. You ask about the easier path, but have you seen the odds for Bernie? He doesn't have a path anymore. It isn't easy to get leftist policies in the White House when he has already lost. So how do we move forward from here?

Again, progressives showing up is a good start. You complain that Biden isn't moving to the left anymore, but I can only assume you haven't really been paying attention. In the debate yesterday, Biden pledged to not deport anyone who hasn't been convicted of a felony. That is a pretty big step to the left. And before the debate (and as discussed during the debate), Biden just supported Warren's bankruptcy bill. Another step to the left.

Does that mean Biden is suddenly going to support M4A? Of course not, but what Bernie supporters often seem to miss, is that this isn't a binary choice. It isn't either M4A or the destruction of life as we know it. Biden's healthcare plan is already pretty far left compared to what we've been seeing for the past couple decades. If this was 2015, we would be saying that this was a pretty huge jump. The reason that happened is largely because Bernie succeeded in pushing the party. The fact that this is where the center lies shows just how impactful progressives can be even when they aren't holding the presidency.

And again, the input of the people doesn't stop as soon as someone gets elected, unless the people let it. However, if Biden doesn't get elected we are effectively preventing ourselves from being able to influence the politics of this country for four more years.



SpokenTruth said:
sundin13 said:

At this point it doesn't matter what anyone thinks about the Primary. It's as good as in the past. We could complain about those damned Biden fans all day, but it won't change anything. Biden is the candidate. You ask about the easier path, but have you seen the odds for Bernie? He doesn't have a path anymore. It isn't easy to get leftist policies in the White House when he has already lost. So how do we move forward from here?

Again, progressives showing up is a good start. You complain that Biden isn't moving to the left anymore, but I can only assume you haven't really been paying attention. In the debate yesterday, Biden pledged to not deport anyone who hasn't been convicted of a felony. That is a pretty big step to the left. And before the debate (and as discussed during the debate), Biden just supported Warren's bankruptcy bill. Another step to the left.

Does that mean Biden is suddenly going to support M4A? Of course not, but what Bernie supporters often seem to miss, is that this isn't a binary choice. It isn't either M4A or the destruction of life as we know it. Biden's healthcare plan is already pretty far left compared to what we've been seeing for the past couple decades. If this was 2015, we would be saying that this was a pretty huge jump. The reason that happened is largely because Bernie succeeded in pushing the party. The fact that this is where the center lies shows just how impactful progressives can be even when they aren't holding the presidency.

And again, the input of the people doesn't stop as soon as someone gets elected, unless the people let it. However, if Biden doesn't get elected we are effectively preventing ourselves from being able to influence the politics of this country for four more years.

If you're going to accuse me of not campaign attention, please don't display it yourself when quoting someone.

Alright, I think I jumped to the wrong conclusion, because what now seems to be the right conclusion just doesn't make any sense to me. To make sure we are on the same page, are you saying that Biden's steps to the left yesterday are the last steps that he is going to take? If so, you are going to have to defend that perspective.

When the most recent data we have shows Biden basically treating Bernie's policies the same way he has in every debate and simultaneously moving to the left, I don't understand why you would make the assumption that this means that he will not move any further left. You may be right, but I don't think that is what the data shows.



The funny thing about this debate is that had Sanders maintained his lead and won the nomination, any calls for him to move to the center or show moderation would have been completely shunned, dismissed and treated with outright hostility.



SpokenTruth said:
sundin13 said:

Alright, I think I jumped to the wrong conclusion, because what now seems to be the right conclusion just doesn't make any sense to me. To make sure we are on the same page, are you saying that Biden's steps to the left yesterday are the last steps that he is going to take? If so, you are going to have to defend that perspective.

When the most recent data we have shows Biden basically treating Bernie's policies the same way he has in every debate and simultaneously moving to the left, I don't understand why you would make the assumption that this means that he will not move any further left. You may be right, but I don't think that is what the data shows.

Biden has a very long history of only moving left when everything else is moving left too.  He has no incentive to move further left against his own policy and tradition.  Especially if we move to him, he has no more motivation to move to us.

You don't think those changes last night were anything other than tying to get Warren's endorsement and potential VP pick?  Why the hell wait until now to add a progressive policy?  That's some last minute pandering.  Don't get me wrong, nobody is saying it's not good he's doing it.  The criticism isn't the policy but the motivation behind it. It's not genuine. It's token. It's a bread crumb.  It's a "here's your progressive policy, now shut up and support me."

And here's the great thing.  If I'm wrong, GREAT.  If he by some miracle enacts even more progressive polices, fantastic.  I'll stew in my absolute wrongness of Biden doubt while we all live a better life.  But if I'm right...and Biden has given no indication now or in the past that I'm not...then we get either 4 more years of Trump (most likely outcome) or 4 new years of democratic status quo.

First of all, I again disagree with the premise that there is no way to influence a politician after election. That is false, especially when both reelection and midterms are both a thing.

Second, I don't know what it is about everyone suddenly forgetting how the country has been for decades, but Biden's entire platform is pretty dang far to the left compared to virtually every president ever. While Biden is unlikely to be the furthest left of all the democrats, acting like his platform is basically a Republican platform is blatantly false. If his platform were put in place, the country would move significantly to the left.

But even assuming that you were 100% right and he is just a status quo candidate, thats fine. Compared to Trump, I would take that any day. Compared to a border wall and this disaster of a pandemic response and a 7-2 conservative majority in the Supreme Court? Give me the democratic status quo! I will happily accept! There is no loss here. If you vote for Biden in the general, the scenario that all the Bernie or Bust guys seem to fear, is still a win.



Tomorrow should all but seal the deal for Biden tomorrow. Bernie performed even worse on his second run. I thought he was he most popular politician in the country. What happened?



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1gWECYYOSo

Please Watch/Share this video so it gets shown in Hollywood.

SpokenTruth said:
sundin13 said:

First of all, I again disagree with the premise that there is no way to influence a politician after election. That is false, especially when both reelection and midterms are both a thing.

Second, I don't know what it is about everyone suddenly forgetting how the country has been for decades, but Biden's entire platform is pretty dang far to the left compared to virtually every president ever. While Biden is unlikely to be the furthest left of all the democrats, acting like his platform is basically a Republican platform is blatantly false. If his platform were put in place, the country would move significantly to the left.

But even assuming that you were 100% right and he is just a status quo candidate, thats fine. Compared to Trump, I would take that any day. Compared to a border wall and this disaster of a pandemic response and a 7-2 conservative majority in the Supreme Court? Give me the democratic status quo! I will happily accept! There is no loss here. If you vote for Biden in the general, the scenario that all the Bernie or Bust guys seem to fear, is still a win.

Come on man.  That's twice you've misread my posts and used that misread as your talking point. 

I was more talking about the general attitude of people I have spoken to, not any specific thing that you said. I apologize for the imprecise wording, but this is the argument I am making, even if it isn't the one you are directly engaging with. I am speaking generally to the Bernie or Bust people, and speaking about the arguments they are bringing up. You could consider it hyperbole for yourself in particular, but I believe the point still applies, and it isn't hard to find this type of opinion from this crowd.



Signalstar said:
Tomorrow should all but seal the deal for Biden tomorrow. Bernie performed even worse on his second run. I thought he was he most popular politician in the country. What happened?

America