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October NPD 2015 predictions thread

Forums - Sales Discussion - October NPD 2015 predictions thread

Which console will win?

PS4 212 66.88%
 
XB1 103 32.49%
 
Total:315

PS4: 13 Billion

XB1: 12.9 Billion (Statistical Tie)

Wii U: 2 (Statistical Tie)

NX: 47 Billion

3DS: 100 Million

Vita: 914 Quintrigintillion (Ttatistical Sie)

Vita TV: More than Wii U

Wii: 4

PS3: 3.4

360: 3.7 (Statistical Tie)



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[PS4] 390,000
[XB1] 340,000
[3DS] 130,000
[WIU] 75,000



Side gril is best gril

Looking at the PS3's first pricecut which happened in late August 2009
PS3 NPD sales went from 210k in August to 490k in September, 133% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo 3 launch in September 2007
360 NPD sales went from 277k in August to 528k in September, 91% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo: Reach launch in September 2010
360 NPD sales went from 357k in August to 488k in September, 37% bump in sales.

The PS4 pricecut isn't as significant as the ps3's was. But this isn't the first Halo on the XB1. I'm going to guess both consoles get a 30% bump from September.

PS4 - 442k
XB1 - 365k
WiiU - 75k
3DS - 110k



XB1- 445k
PS4- 410k
WiiU-70k
3DS- 110k



enrageorange said:

Looking at the PS3's first pricecut which happened in late August 2009
PS3 NPD sales went from 210k in August to 490k in September, 133% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo 3 launch in September 2007
360 NPD sales went from 277k in August to 528k in September, 91% bump in sales.

Looking at Halo: Reach launch in September 2010
360 NPD sales went from 357k in August to 488k in September, 37% bump in sales.

The PS4 pricecut isn't as significant as the ps3's was. But this isn't the first Halo on the XB1. I'm going to guess both consoles get a 30% bump from September.

PS4 - 442k
XB1 - 365k
WiiU - 75k
3DS - 110k

That's not how it works..

The less a console is selling, the bigger the % boost when boosts happen. This works in favor of X1 (and PS3) and against PS4 (and 360)  when trying to use %s to come up with numbers.



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xb1:350k
ps4: 330k
Wii U:60k
3DS:120k



I'll say XB1 will win.
Some of the more attractive PS4 bundles that people buy won't count for the month of October, and I think ultimately that will punish PS4 for that month.

XB1: 380k
PS4: 350k
WiiU: 75k
3DS: 100k



PS4: 375k
XBO: 350k
3DS: 90k
Wii U: 50k



PS4 - 320k
X1- 380k

the rest is not important



[PS4] 388,000
[XB1] 345,000
[3DS] 116,000
[WIU] 61,000