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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict how long PS4 and XBox One will need to outsell WiiU - 14 weeks PS4, 52 X1

bananaking21 said:
holiday 2015

That's something around 110 weeks, if we assume PS4 is launching at the end of this year (pretty much a given). Should I put that number to the OP?



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Why is the PS3 listed in OP??? PS3 already outsold Wii U since start.



Mnementh said:
bananaking21 said:
holiday 2015

That's something around 110 weeks, if we assume PS4 is launching at the end of this year (pretty much a given). Should I put that number to the OP?

yup



That's a tough one. Wii U could make a come back and it might never happen or PS4 might not sell that well. Or in combination. Then again it could do massive sales numbers and Wii U still struggle for a while and get passed.

Right now it is at 2.7 million and there doesn't seem to be a big turn of events any time soon, though Nintendo might convince consumers that the thing exists this holiday. (I think the best way would be to market it as the "New Wii")

If Wii U is 4-5 million end of year with similar early year adoption sales, like the Vita, then PS4 might pass it February 2015. So I'm going to give it, 60 weeks min. If the game industry sentiment plays out how it seems to be right now. I guess Xbox 3 could change sales figures too.



Before the PS3 everyone was nice to me :(

I say 69 weeks for both, but ofcourse a wild guess because we don't have an idea when the consoles will release =p.



 

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ethomaz said:
Why is the PS3 listed in OP??? PS3 already outsold Wii U since start.

Sorry, my fault, edit it. Thanks for the hint.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Chark said:
That's a tough one. Wii U could make a come back and it might never happen or PS4 might not sell that well. Or in combination. Then again it could do massive sales numbers and Wii U still struggle for a while and get passed.

Right now it is at 2.7 million and there doesn't seem to be a big turn of events any time soon, though Nintendo might convince consumers that the thing exists this holiday. (I think the best way would be to market it as the "New Wii")

If Wii U is 4-5 million end of year with similar early year adoption sales, like the Vita, then PS4 might pass it February 2015. So I'm going to give it, 60 weeks min. If the game industry sentiment plays out how it seems to be right now. I guess Xbox 3 could change sales figures too.

Yes, it is a tricky prediction. But that's the fun of it, isn't it?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Roma said:
they won't

So you expect WiiU to win the gen. At the current sales that is a bold prediction, but we will see.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

"1 - italo244"

1 week, hahaha



Wii U should be in the neighborhood of 6-8 million by the time those launch. Based on a couple of factors (potential shortages, price, software lineup, audience, etc) I actually think Nintendo has a decent chance of outselling the other two consoles over the holiday. Nintendo should have a lead of 7-10ish million by next year, which will kind of take a while to erode at if they can at all.

The only way I really see the PS4 or 720 catching the Wii U is if one of the two consoles completely collapse leaving the other uncontested control of the COD market. But I don't really see that happening. So....

Never.