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Wii U should be in the neighborhood of 6-8 million by the time those launch. Based on a couple of factors (potential shortages, price, software lineup, audience, etc) I actually think Nintendo has a decent chance of outselling the other two consoles over the holiday. Nintendo should have a lead of 7-10ish million by next year, which will kind of take a while to erode at if they can at all.

The only way I really see the PS4 or 720 catching the Wii U is if one of the two consoles completely collapse leaving the other uncontested control of the COD market. But I don't really see that happening. So....

Never.