Off Topic: I wouldn't buy a Nintendo Wii or an XBox 360 even if they were only $100.They are totally not worth it and no matter how many new games come out I still won't buy either console. The GameCube killed off any respect I had in Nintendo. 360 well we all know the issues surrounding 360 let's not talk about it.

On Topic: PS3 could sell heaps this year MGS 4, Resistance 2 and LBP will help move hardware for PS3 and narrow the gap between PS3 and 360. Time will tell. Overtake 360 sales by November 2008 may be pushing it.

But as Crazzyman says: "Time will Tell" :):)

I feel the same way! Ditto about the Xbox360.

 True Gamers own all 3 consoles and a Gaming PC! 

J/k

LOL! 

Oi! Crazy edit man!

Edit this!

Jokes!

Assuming a 5.4 million worldwide lead for the 360 by June, some things to note with regard to sales in the 2nd half of the year are usually more than twice of that in the first half and Q4 is more than twice than in Q3.

If the PS3 outsells 150K on average per week in Q3, this would then translate into the gap getting smaller by about 1.8 million. 300k on average per week for Q4 would translate into 3.6 million. Then the install base would be on par by the end of the year.

It's not impossible but that's really a lot, without a game like Final Fantasy this can probably only be achieved with a significant price cut.

thats wishful thinking but maybe nov. of next year. definitely not this year.

Alternative...

Assuming Microsoft's comments are correct, there could be more like a 4.8-4.9 million gap by June. The PS3 can then sell 25K less per week, so:

- 125K more for Q3 on average per week, 275K for Q4 on average per week.
- 100K more for Q3 on average per week, 300K for Q4 on average per week.

I think if there's going to be a significant price-cut, it's likely going to be in October.

In any case the PS3 needs Japan to make this happen. Hopefully a game like White Knight Story or The Last Remnant can push PS3 sales this christmas next to just MGS4, Resident Evil 5 if available this year could have a good impact.

A slimline PS3 is probably unlikely to hit this year, I think that's going to have a big impact on Japan, just like Final Fantasy XIII.

Using sold to retailer company data.

At the end of 2007 total PS3 sales were 10.49 million.
At the end of 2007 total 360 sales were 17.7 million.

For Q1 the PS3 shipped 1 million units more than the 360 (a little over 2.3m PS3s, which is almost on par with FY2006 and FY2007 PS2 sales for this period of the year, Microsoft sold 1.3 million 360s for the period this year)

Assuming the 360 sells as many units in 2008 as in 2007, that would mean 7.3 million sales and 25 million units sold to retail by the end of 2008 in total.

That would mean the PS3 would have to sell 14.5 million units this year, then the PS3 would have to sell a little less than the PS2 sold in FY2006 and a little more than the PS2 sold in FY2007.

ps3 will overtake 360 mid 2009, and from then on 360 will be left behind.
hopefully the playstation 3 can like the ps2 before it, secure many console releases once the ps3 sales rocket past 360.

this would cut out lazy ports, and majority may lead develop for the "console of choice"

November 2008, no, December 2008, maybe, March 2009, yes