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Forums - Sales - Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

 

Which one will sell more?

PS5 20 22.22%
 
Switch 2 70 77.78%
 
Total:90
Otter said:
Sephiran said:

According to Chris Dring, Switch 2 sales in the UK jumped 154 % month on month in March and Switch 2 now has more than 50 % market share of console sales in the UK as of yet in 2026:

https://x.com/Chris_Dring/status/2038895293320540303

So even before the PS5 price increase, Switch 2 is on an upward momentum in strong PS countries like the UK.

That's not quite what he said. 

"Nintendo accounts for over 50% of all consoles sold in the UK so far this year"

So this includes Switch 1 sales

Ok, so "over 50% of all consoles" -1% were NS2 sales.



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TheRealSamusAran said:
Otter said:

That's not quite what he said. 

"Nintendo accounts for over 50% of all consoles sold in the UK so far this year"

So this includes Switch 1 sales

Ok, so "over 50% of all consoles" -1% were NS2 sales.

Obviously we don't know but if Switch 1 is selling 1% of consoles, its never gonna reach 156 million let alone 160 million.  



TheRealSamusAran said:
Otter said:

That's not quite what he said. 

"Nintendo accounts for over 50% of all consoles sold in the UK so far this year"

So this includes Switch 1 sales

Ok, so "over 50% of all consoles" -1% were NS2 sales.

According to VGCharts Switch sales were 16.15% of Switch 2's numbers in Europe this Feb. So  I wouldn't extrapolate to 1%, of course we don't know the actual UK mix...

I suspect switch 2 is closer to 45%, PS5 a bit less (like 42%) and Switch and Series consoles competing for that remaining 12%.

If Switch 2 was actually over 50% I'm sure Chris Dring would of said that

Last edited by Otter - on 02 April 2026

Otter said:

According to VGCharts Switch sales were 16.15% of Switch 2's numbers in Europe this Feb. So  I wouldn't extrapolate to 1%, of course we don't know the actual UK mix...

I suspect switch 2 is closer to 45%, PS5 a bit less (like 42%) and Switch and Series consoles competing for that remaining 12%.

If Switch 2 was actually over 50% I'm sure Chris Dring would of said that

NS2 selling anywhere near 50% in year two in a region traditionally dominated by Sony is kinda crazy TBH. Pokopia really brought a big wave of momentum to those NS2 figures, huh? Curious how much the Mario movie will boost sales: IIRC NS1 saw a pretty generous bump during the first few weeks of April 2023, back when the OG Mario movie released.



firebush03 said:
Otter said:

According to VGCharts Switch sales were 16.15% of Switch 2's numbers in Europe this Feb. So  I wouldn't extrapolate to 1%, of course we don't know the actual UK mix...

I suspect switch 2 is closer to 45%, PS5 a bit less (like 42%) and Switch and Series consoles competing for that remaining 12%.

If Switch 2 was actually over 50% I'm sure Chris Dring would of said that

NS2 selling anywhere near 50% in year two in a region traditionally dominated by Sony is kinda crazy TBH. Pokopia really brought a big wave of momentum to those NS2 figures, huh? Curious how much the Mario movie will boost sales: IIRC NS1 saw a pretty generous bump during the first few weeks of April 2023, back when the OG Mario movie released.

It's an impressive feat for sure, but given the context I don't think its crazy. PS5 is entering it's 6th year, XBox is dead and the Switch was a huge success. I do think people often down talk Nintendo's success in the UK. The Switch 1 was the best selling console for several years on market. Wii outsold the PS3 and DS outsold the PSP by huge margins.



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Otter said:
TheRealSamusAran said:

Ok, so "over 50% of all consoles" -1% were NS2 sales.

According to VGCharts Switch sales were 16.15% of Switch 2's numbers in Europe this Feb. So  I wouldn't extrapolate to 1%, of course we don't know the actual UK mix...

I suspect switch 2 is closer to 45%, PS5 a bit less (like 42%) and Switch and Series consoles competing for that remaining 12%.

If Switch 2 was actually over 50% I'm sure Chris Dring would of said that

I was saying it with tongue in cheek, mostly making fun of how imprecise a statement like that is, but I guess if NS2 got over 50% alone, he would have said that.



Still feels like Sony game to lose here. And while it seems like they are trying to do everything in their power to lose, I don't think we see the full picture yet. Right now Sony is in the lead and may actually remain in the lead thoughout the whole year even with the price increase. Also just as likily is that the Switch 2 will take the lead in May or June. Right now we are just making guesses based off of the charts to far. Within the next month we will get FY predictions from both Sony and Nintendo. My prediction is that they will be matching each other, but if say Nintendo predicts 25 million and Sony predicts 15 million we can pack it up. We need them to have predictions in the same neighborhood for this to be worth following.



CosmicSex said:

Still feels like Sony game to lose here. And while it seems like they are trying to do everything in their power to lose, I don't think we see the full picture yet. Right now Sony is in the lead and may actually remain in the lead thoughout the whole year even with the price increase. Also just as likily is that the Switch 2 will take the lead in May or June. Right now we are just making guesses based off of the charts to far. Within the next month we will get FY predictions from both Sony and Nintendo. My prediction is that they will be matching each other, but if say Nintendo predicts 25 million and Sony predicts 15 million we can pack it up. We need them to have predictions in the same neighborhood for this to be worth following.

Do I miss something? This very website has PS5 this year so far with 1.9M this year, the Switch 2 with 2.1M. Now, this isn't a massive difference and more importantly these first months will pale in comparison to the second half of the year, but saying Sony is in the lead is off.

EDIT: Also just as a note: currently Switch 2 has gotten two major sellers with Pokopia and Tomodachi Life. These games have high impact and will keep having that impact througghout most of the year. I bet they will fall off the top 10 only a few weeks with multiple strong new releases.

Last edited by Mnementh - on 18 April 2026

3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [GTA6]

Was hoping Chartz would post this or maybe they did and I missed it but it is relevant here so lets take a look:
Key Data on GTA 5 PlayStation Players (April 2026):
  • Total PlayStation Share: PlayStation platforms (PS4/PS5) represent approximately 35% to over 50% of the active user base, depending on the specific metric (weekly vs. monthly).
  • Platform Split: While the PS5 version has the highest engagement (roughly 3.47 million weekly users), the PS4 still holds a massive, active population of around 1.88 million weekly users.
  • Combined Strength: Combined, PS5 and PS4 dominate, with PS5 holding 41% of weekly users and PS4 holding 23% as of April 2026.
  • Legacy Population: Despite the shift to newer hardware, the PS4 version remains highly popular, with many players having not upgraded. 

it is important to understand that there are still millions of people who play GTA 5 on the PS4 and there are nearly as many people playing GTA on PS4 as there are people playing on Xbox One and Xbox Series X combined.  Over twice that of PC.  I think Sony knows this and I wonder if the price increase, while certainly justified, was don't in part in anticipation of the coming flood.  To those people who think all the PS4 gamers already upgraded, disabuse yourself of that notion.  

This chart is the weekly booking in 2026.  This is relevant because you can see WHY GTA 6 is launching on console first and why PlayStation has the marketing deal.   PlayStaion is basically 2/3 of GTA although I find it interesting that Xbox One is tied with PS4 when PS4 has so many more active  users.  I wonder if the Series consoles can still managae a win againsit the original Switch this year.



Now that the PS5 price increase is in effect, PS5 is on place 40 on Amazon best sellers, Switch 2 is on place 8. Basically, the longer it takes for Switch 2 to get a price increase, the bigger sales lead Switch 2 will have over PS5 this year.