Ik there was a poll of this a few months back, but I want to ask this again now that new info has came out about Nintendo's future.
We now know that no new hardware is releasing this fiscal year, so the earliest we could see the Switch successor release is April 2024.
We also now have big 2023 Holiday games confirmed like Mario RPG and Mario Bros Wonder, so this puts the idea that the Switch would be done after TOTK released to rest. A decent amount of people were suggesting that would happen where the 2nd half of 2023 is where the Switch wouldn't have much in terms of releases and shift focus to Switch 2, but not going to happen this early.
We also have two games confirmed for 2024, they're smaller games but still new releases which shows that the Switch isn't done even going into 2024.
So when do you think the successor is releasing?
For me I've always been in the camp that's been forecasting the successor to release 2025 or potentially later even before Nintendo announced there's no new hardware coming before April 2024 and before they announced more 2023/24 games for the Switch.
I saw a surprising amount of people saying an early 2024 release or even as wild as releasing by the end of 2023. People make the mistake of comparing the Switch's lifecycle to previous Nintendo consoles like the DS & Wii, but those consoles were no where near as popular in their 7th year as the Switch is. The Wii was already dead in its 7th year only selling 3 Million units and dried itself out with price cuts by that point and DS only sold like 6 Million and also dried itself out with pricecuts. The Switch is forecasted to sell 15Million and it would still be one of Nintendo's most profitable years in history. Nintendo is in way less of a rush to release a successor compared to the DS/Wii era when sales and profits fell much more drastically.
Honestly, I'm expecting a Holiday 2025 release but I wouldn't be surprised if the successor doesn't release til later than that.