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Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: Week 11, 2023 (Mar 06 - Mar 12)

Alex_The_Hedgehog said:

I took a free time in my job to check if the Famitsu post was posted on VG Chartz. And I got the best news of this day: Ib on top 10, with 9k.

For those who don't know Ib is a quite old game made on RPG Maker. It was remade for Steam and now Switch. Back in 2012-2013, a lot of my favorite Youtube channels were playing it. I loved to watch them, after playing it myself. This game had a lot of impact on me.

I wasn't expecting it to chart this high, since it is a very old game that used to be free to play. Very good news!

Playing it right now on my Deck. It's REALLY good. 



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Vodacixi said:
Alex_The_Hedgehog said:

I took a free time in my job to check if the Famitsu post was posted on VG Chartz. And I got the best news of this day: Ib on top 10, with 9k.

For those who don't know Ib is a quite old game made on RPG Maker. It was remade for Steam and now Switch. Back in 2012-2013, a lot of my favorite Youtube channels were playing it. I loved to watch them, after playing it myself. This game had a lot of impact on me.

I wasn't expecting it to chart this high, since it is a very old game that used to be free to play. Very good news!

Playing it right now on my Deck. It's REALLY good. 

A classic amongst the popular boom of RPG Maker horror games of the early 2010's era on YouTube.

I imagine stuff like Yume Nikki, Mad Father or The Witch's house would've had just as much if not more success than this release.

Anywoo, like I said last week, PS5 is finally getting it's demand met in some cases so the number prolly slowly decrease until it has met a consistent baseline, appart from big releases week. Great numbers nonetheless.

Switch is surprisingly putting out it's third best year, even beating 2020/19's in the process. Wonder how the baseline will settle to during the slower period.



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Mar1217 said:

Switch is surprisingly putting out it's third best year, even beating 2020/19's in the process. Wonder how the baseline will settle to during the slower period.

The switch is down 35% YoY which is more than I think most people expected, so I wouldn't say that it's performance is surprising in a good way.

I expect the Switch to do better YoY in the 2nd half of the year.

Edit:

This is not the Switch's third best year just checked. Here's the sales by week 11 for all years.

2018: 578k
2019: 862k
2020: 1025k
2021: 1388k
2022: 1188k
2023: 775k

Only 2018 is worse than this year, it's 5th out of 6.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 17 March 2023

The switch does seem to be getting the biggest game of the year in Japan, as well as decent 3rd party support

If Nintendo gets more first party games out this year, I think it can claw its way back above 2019 for the year



Zippy6 said:
Mar1217 said:

Switch is surprisingly putting out it's third best year, even beating 2020/19's in the process. Wonder how the baseline will settle to during the slower period.

The switch is down 35% YoY which is more than I think most people expected, so I wouldn't say that it's performance is surprising in a good way.

I expect the Switch to do better YoY in the 2nd half of the year.

Edit:

This is not the Switch's third best year just checked. Here's the sales by week 11 for all years.

2018: 578k
2019: 862k
2020: 1025k
2021: 1388k
2022: 1188k
2023: 775k

Only 2018 is worse than this year, it's 5th out of 6.

Check against just the past 4 weeks. 



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Renamed said:

Check against just the past 4 weeks. 

The post I quoted said nothing about 4 weeks, so not sure why we're suddenly looking at that. Like I said the further we go into the year the better I expect YoY comparisons to come in favour of 2023. I'd be very surprised if it ended the year 35% down, I expect it to be closer to around the 20% mark.

But if you really want to look at just Weeks 8-11:

2018 - 178,682
2019 - 238,694
2020 - 202,447
2021 - 314,884
2022 - 362,359
2023 - 236,706

2023 is 4th out of 6 and the YoY decline for this period is also around 35%.



Kneetos said:

The switch does seem to be getting the biggest game of the year in Japan, as well as decent 3rd party support

If Nintendo gets more first party games out this year, I think it can claw its way back above 2019 for the year

It's basically already impossible for it to do more than 2019 did since it'd need to build up a big lead the first half of the year to not fall behind during the 2nd half and that's not gonna happen with it already behind 2019.



I mean, it's kind of a given that the Switch is down YOY and tracking behind most prior years. This is year 7 on the market, it's old as fuck.
The positive surprise comes more from the last few weeks being better than expected. Back in Feb it seemed like it was settling to a lower baseline.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 17 March 2023

Yeah the Switch will be down but it will prolly still beat the PS5 for the year



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Ashadelo said:

Yeah the Switch will be down but it will prolly still beat the PS5 for the year

Of course it will, no probably about it. Which isn't a bad thing for PS5 nor necessarily a good thing for Switch. PS5 can have a great year and Switch a terrible year relatively and still Switch can come out on top. They have different standards for sales in Japan. The last time an active Nintendo Handheld (or hybrid that has the sales benefits of being able to be used as a handheld in Japan if you're being picky) lost to a PlayStation Console for a year was 2002 when the PS2 beat the GBA for that year.

For the PS5 to come out on top would require an amazing year for PlayStation with their best performance in over two decades or a complete disaster for Nintendo. Not going to happen.

curl-6 said:

I mean, it's kind of a given that the Switch is down YOY and tracking behind most prior years. This is year 7 on the market, it's old as fuck.
The positive surprise comes more from the last few weeks being better than expected. Back in Feb it seemed like it was settling to a lower baseline.

Yes it's a given it'd be down and like I said I expect the YoY decline to get smaller as the year goes on. The "positive surprise" I was quoting was that it was the 3rd best selling year when it isn't.

I'm not sure about your comment about the baseline. There was only one week that sold under 50k for Switch so far and the baseline seemed to be establishing itself around 53k which isn't that far from this week. I don't necessarily see any change to a baseline yet just a small temporary boost from the release of Kirby. If the sales next week do not decline from 59k then maybe an improved baseline can be argued otherwise I'd say the 53k-ish mark hasn't changed and sales will return to that.

But a baseline in the low 50's would be fine. Last year from Week 15 onwards the Switch settled into an average of around 67k until Splatoon 3 came. So a 53k baseline for example would be a respectable 21% drop YoY to this number, and a 21% drop YoY is about how I expect the year to end with 3.7m-4m sales.