Average selling price makes a bit of a difference. We had come up with slightly lower figures. $510 for PS5 and $310 for Xbox Series and Switch. Series S was discounted to $250 and would likely be the vast majority of Xbox Series sales thinking like 75-80%, plus the Series X did see a discount to $400 on the MS Store on Instagram. At this point it is impossible to be 100% right without more data from NPD. It is about getting as close as possible until more data is available. 

LEGO Star Wars that high on the ytd sellers is pretty crazy.

It’s too bad Scarlet/Violet will surely have some momentum cut by all the game’s problems. If it had actually delivered, may have beaten cod for the year which would have been nice for once

I was going to buy Violet at launch then I saw all the issues with the game. Once they are fixed I plan on buying it. 

You're still here too 😁👍

Totally agree.  It shouldn't be controversial to say that God of War sales were impressive.  Knowing Pokemon's popularity there is no threat in admitting God of War sold well.  

About sales, the reason why I knew the PS5 was gonna win the US is because from a business perspective, Sony SHOULD prioritize the US simply because the dollar is strong. So when Will was rightfully asking where the stock was, I think it should have been obvious that they were sent to the US.   There is a very strong likelihood that it is still under tracked.   It's gonna take years to saturate the US market.  Sales will continue to be tied to stock.  Switch 2 launch could easily pass the PS5 on NPD.  Otherwise like you said I see Sony taking NPD as long as it can keep stock.  I would like to see charts estimates more closely match what's happening in the US.  I think this is 5 months in a row the miscalled first place.  

Yeah everyone is probably very much wrong.

Still I like to make arguments for different scenarios. Piscatella for example said one year when all consoles surpassed 1m sales, this year he didn't state such a thing, so I don't think it happened.

Too bad there isn't much discourse about HW sales though. I also considered giving up and not talking about it all after the hacks.

Great point.

More caveats:

God of War had $60, $70, $99 and higher SKUs

Pokemon had $60 and $99 SKUs

One thing I believe is that the PlayStation ecosystem has way more people buying digitally.  

Nice to see you are still here. Our estimates are just that estimates. We are open to hearing what people have to say and we do take into consideration as long as there is some math / data behind it. 

I dealt with a lot of hate because our US estimates didn't match the NPD data 100%. Mainly because we had the order wrong. But overall the numbers weren't wrong by a ton considering how little data we are able to get (plus looking at historical data) to do our estimates. Xbox Series was 13% off compared to where we have it now, which is more than I would like. But people were acting like we were off by a lot more than that. 

I could wait for the monthly reports (US, UK, Europe) to come in before doing the estimates for each given month. This is something I've thought about doing for a while now. It would mean the initial estimates we post would be more accurate. Though not 100% accurate as there isn't much data available for certain parts of the world like Asia and Africa. The downside is the estimates would be posted several weeks later than they are now. 

When talking about God of War and Pokémon. It is hard to know for sure which one sold more. The ranking is by revenue and Nintendo published games don't include digital. Plus Pokémon launched 9 days later in the month. So it had less days available.

The increase in price for PS5 would be offset by the decrease in price for XBSS and it being the main SKU. I agree that PS5 being the best seller would knock down the total a bit  though so maybe not a 3.35m total then maybe 3.1m or 3.2m.