November 2022 NPD Thread (NPD Out Now)

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Farsala said:

Just some quick math.

My estimates for 2021

500k PS5 @ $480= 240m
1.13m Switch @ $290= 327m
650k XBS @ $470= 305m

Total= .87b (spot on)

Using my estimates that I stated earlier in the thread for 2022

1.1m PS5 @ $520= 572m
950k Switch @ $320= 304m
900k XBS @ $330= 297m

Total= 1.17b ( Only 80m off)

With that math down, you can see that my scenario is entirely possible, with some minor adjustments. I think XBS is actually lower sales to revenue ratio, now that I look at it more.

Average selling price makes a bit of a difference. We had come up with slightly lower figures. $510 for PS5 and $310 for Xbox Series and Switch. Series S was discounted to $250 and would likely be the vast majority of Xbox Series sales thinking like 75-80%, plus the Series X did see a discount to $400 on the MS Store on Instagram. At this point it is impossible to be 100% right without more data from NPD. It is about getting as close as possible until more data is available.